Tag: nba handicapping

NBA Betting? Mavs vs Bucks Predictions

NBA betting action sees the Dallas Mavericks taking on the Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday December 3 BMO Harris Bradley Center in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.  Cappers Picks provides free NBA handicapping tips all season long.

The Bucks have been better than expected this season but this is going to be a tough get on Wednesday.

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Dallas Mavericks (14-5) vs. Milwaukee Bucks (10-9)
Wednesday December 3
8:00PM
BMO Harris Bradley Center – Milwaukee, WI
FSWI
NBA Betting Lines:  Dallas -4
NBA Betting Total:  206
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The Mavs are just that – tough.

Dallas

The Mavs snatched a victory away from Chicago last night in double overtime.

This Mavs team is good but the game should have ended in regulation but the Bulls stupidly fouled Monta Ellis on a three and his free throws sent the game to OT.

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Even though they won they might be a little winded tonight taking on Milwaukee without any days rest.

Dallas has won 4 in a row including two in overtime but you have to think they might not be as sharp against a surprising Milwaukee team.

Jameer Nelson was back in the lineup last night but was a non-factor.

The same can not be said of Ellis who scored 38 points in the victory and seemed to have life late in the game when others didn’t.

Even though Nelson started the Mavs got a major contribution from backup PG Devin Harris.

He made all 6 of his three pointers and played a smart all around game with just one turnover.

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He may need to be a big contributor as Nelson works back into shape.

Milwaukee

Milwaukee is still one of the most pleasant surprises in the league.

Though they should probably be closer to 76ers territory they have a winning record and we are nearly a quarter of the way through the season. Last night they had a close loss to the Cavaliers on the road so they will also be playing a back to back.

It was the second loss in row for this streaky team. These guys are not good but they have shown some resiliency and they might be catching the Mavs at a good time.

You probably don’t watch many Mavs games so you probably don’t know all that much about Giannis Antekounmpo, one of the most versatile players in the game.

At 6’9” there is a natural comparison to Toni Kukoc but that might be a low ceiling given how much he has improved from his first to second seasons.

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The Bucks have a young nucleus and the more they let him and rookie Jabari Parker take shots away from Brandon Knight the better they will be in my opinion.

NBA Handicapping Trends:

• Over is 5-0 in Mavericks last 5 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day.
• Over is 8-0 in Mavericks last 8 Wednesday games.
• Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.
• Bucks are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. loss.
• Over is 7-1 in Bucks last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
• Under is 6-1-1 in Bucks last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
• Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.
• Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
• Mavericks are 3-10 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Milwaukee.

NBA Prediction:  Milwaukee +4

I think the Bucks might continue their sneakiness and catch the Mavs in this one.

NBA Score prediction:  Milwaukee 99 – Dallas 98

I haven’t quite figured out why they are better this year but the results are there.

Check out our Updated NBA Betting Odds.

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