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Free Pick: New Orleans vs. Dallas NBA Lines & Handicapping Preview

NBA: Pelicans vs Mavs Predictions

NBA basketball betting action sees the New Orleans Pelicans taking on the Dallas Mavericks at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas on Wednesday December 10th. Cappers Picks offers free NBA handicapping tips all season long.

A couple of low profile contenders in the West clash in this one. Both are probably better than most people realize.

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New Orleans Pelicans (10-10) vs. Dallas Mavericks (16-7)
Wednesday December 10
8:00PM
American Airlines Center – Dallas, TX
NBA Betting Lines:  Dallas -7
NBA Betting Total:  210
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New Orleans

The Pelicans hit the road on a two game winning streak after beating the Knicks last night. The win brings their record back to .500 but it is going to be tough to continue their winning ways against what is sure to be an ornery Dallas team.

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When you look at the number on this team it is easy to see why their record is evens as they are about the middle of the pack across the board offensively and defensively.  It is hard to win like that in the West that’s for sure.

It is amazing the leap that Anthony Davis has taken with his game in this his third season.

His FG% is up to 57% and he is the only player in the league averaging 25/10. The Pelicans have a nice team around him but they have been up and down all season.

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If they are going to get into real contention they need to get more from the combination of Eric Gordon and Austin Rivers. Both have been terrible this season.

Dallas

The Mavs are looking to get back to winning after a loss to the division leading Grizzlies last night. The numbers from the game were weird as the normally reliable Monta Ellis was completely off his game making just one shot the entire game.

The Mavs are still the top scoring team in the league but it is hard to win when your top gun is firing blanks. Back at home against a weaker opponent there is good reason to think that the Mavs will bounce back strong.

This is a buying opportunity.

The Mavs are the top scoring team in the league but they are doing it even though they are limiting the minutes of mainstay Dirk Nowitzki.

Monta Ellis is having a nice season but one of the most overlooked factor is the production they are getting in the paint from Tyson Chandler and Brandon Wright.

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Both are shooting 70% or better from the field and between them they are averaging 20 points and 16 rebounds a night. Not many other teams are getting that kind of production in the middle.

NBA Betting Trends:

  • Under is 4-0 in Pelicans last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Pelicans are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • Pelicans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
  • Over is 9-0 in Mavericks last 9 Wednesday games.
  • Over is 5-0 in Mavericks last 5 overall.
  • Over is 5-0 in Mavericks last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Pelicans are 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

NBA Betting Prediction:  Over

I really like the over in this one. Dallas will feel more comfortable at home so I expect their offense to get back to the level we have seen all season long.

NBA Score Prediction:  Dallas 111 – New Orleans 105

Take the over.

Check out our Updated NBA Betting Odds.

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By The Wiesguy

The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.