The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.
There are rumours that Boise State is trying to undo their move to the Big East scheduled for next season. Right now they are 6-1 in the Mountain West, looking to finish with a win and then see what happens.
The Bearcats are actually not all that far from another very good season. They may have three losses but they are by a total of just 16 points and this squad has put up some very impressive numbers this year.
Cincinnati Bearcats (8-3) vs Connecticut Huskies (5-6)
Saturday December 1
Rentschler Field – Storrs, CT
3:30PM
Moneyline: Cincinnati -220, Connecticut +180 from Sportsbook.ag
Spread: Cincinnati -5.5
O/U: 39
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Cincinnati
They just have gone largely unnoticed because their signature win was against a mediocre Virginia Tech program. All the upheaval in the Big East hasn’t helped either even though they have a player with the best name in college football.
That player would be QB Munchie Legaux, one of the more athletic players in the country. With him executing the attack CIncinnati has one of the most balanced offenses out there, running and passing for more than 200 yards per game.
Also, I bet you didn’t know that Cincinnati is 13th in the nation in scoring defense giving up just 17ppg – I know I didn’t. This team might not be loaded with top flight talent but they execute and get results.
The Bearcats have been a money winner too going 7-3 ATS this season, including 2-1 on the road. Historically they have not fared well visiting the Huskies though, having lost the last two games outright and the last three against the number in the series. Due to recent performance I think the Bearcats are pretty good value in this one though they have less to play for.[soliloquy id=”82219″]
Connecticut
The Huskies should be feeling better than they have at any point this season after back to back wins against Pittsburgh and Louisville. Now they are looking to carry that momentum into the final against CIncinnati to get the final victory they need to become bowl eligible this year. They have had success against the Bearcats in Storrs but haven’t been very strong at home this season.
This could be a defensive battle as the Huskies are just a smidge worse than Cincinnati on defense giving up an average of 18.5ppg. They will want to turn this into a defensive battle too because this team is not built for a shootout. Normally the Huskies are pretty good at running the ball but not this season. They are averaging less than 100 yards per contest – and it is not like they have a souped up passing attack to compensate.
With a bowl berth in the offing the Huskies should be the more motivated team. A ton of coaches have been fired already and Paul Pasqualoni might find himself among them if he misses the postseason again after 4 straight bowl appearances under Randy Edsall. The home team is 7-1 in this one usually winning by a large margin – 16ppg.
Spread Pick: Connecticut +5.5
O/U Pick: Over
Score Prediction: Cincinnati 24 – Connecticut 21
Hard to believe but things have actually gotten worse this year for the Jayhawks as they will likely finish with fewer victories for the second season in row.
Texans vs. Titans has a nice ring to it but it shouldn’t be much of a game this year. Houston appears to be the league’s most complete team and has been cooking on the road so far – a perfect 5-0.
Houston Texans (10-1) vs Tennessee Titans (4-7)
Sunday December 2
LP Field – Nashville, TN
1:00PM
Moneyline: Houston -265, Tennessee +225 at TopBet.eu
Spread: Houston -7
O/U: 47
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Houston
They are both good and lucky as they have won their last two games in overtime in what is becoming a very special season. They are looking to beat up on the franchise that moved so they could come into existence…again.
Running back Arian Foster has gotten better as the season has progressed. With 90 or more yards in each of the last 5 games he has topped 1000 already for the third season in a row. He gives them great balance which makes QB Matt Schaub’s job even easier.
They both benefit from the fact that more often than not the defense sets them up well and enables them to follow the game plan. They don’t really do anything special other than beat you.
Houston is 7-4 ATS so riding them has been a pretty good proposition all year long. Despite winning all their road games they are just 3-2 ATS as the visitor. It might have something to do with them always being the favourite. In fact, they have only been the underdog once this season. Looking at their schedule that is likely to happen only one more time on a visit to New England.
Tennessee
Tennessee decided to shake things up by firing their offensive coordinator. [soliloquy id=”82219″]
Even if the offense improves they are unlikely to change their fate which is another season out of the playoffs. The Titans dug themselves a hole by losing 4 of their first five games and have been treading water ever since. A little pride against a division opponent might come out this week but I don’t see any upset potential.
The Titans might have hit a new low by losing to Jacksonville last week – despite outgaining the Jags. When I was looking at the numbers I was surprised to see that just only one team has given up more points than Tennessee. They don’t know what they are doing at quarterback but with Chris Johnson toting the rock they still have big play potential. He was awful early in the year but last week was the first time in more than a month he didn’t crack 90 yards.
Other than being at home and perhaps catching the Titans off guard with some new wrinkles to their attack there is not much to like about the Titans this weekend. Last year they lost to Houston 41-7 at home and that was a better Titans team. They lost to Houston 38-14 early in the season and this one could be the same or worse.
Spread Pick: Houston -7
O/U Pick: Under
Score Prediction: Houston 27 – Tennessee 9
The Vikings have been squandering their hot start with their recent poor play….but they still have a nice opportunity to steal a playoff spot, especially if they can emerge from Green Bay victorious this weekend.
A lot is expected of the N.C. State program this year and so far they haven’t delivered much. They got hammered by an Oklahoma State team that features a couple of great players already but I am more distressed by a near home loss to UNC-Asheville.
Tennessee absolutely whipped Miami two weeks ago before their bye week. Not that they needed it, but they have had two weeks to prepare for the League’s weakest team.
Green Bay has shaken off some early season jitters to begin reminding us why they are among the NFL elite. They have won 4 games in a row, all by nine or more points, and are looking for some revenge in this contest as they visit the New York Giants.
The Bills broke a three game losing streak last week against Miami. The win was hardly an impressive feat but the Bills will take what they can get.
The Vikings are not setting the world on fire but they are still in the hunt for a playoff spot as they head down the stretch. They are coming off their bye week and with the extra prep and Chicago missing their starting QB they may be catching the Bears at the perfect time.
South Carolina at its best was one of the strongest teams in the country. They clobbered Georgia at home giving them their only loss and their own two losses were back to back road trips to LSU and Florida.
Its time for the annual Bedlam game between these two in-state and conference rivals. Oklahoma State knew it wasn’t going to be as good as last year but that #21 next to its name is an indicator of the status of the program at current.
The Yellow Jackets have to be one of the most maddening teams out there this season. With their old school offense they rumble away at teams at times looking unstoppable.
Nebraska can clinch the Legends division this weekend with a victory at Iowa. This team has been special at home but not nearly as convincing on the road.
Before the season started this was supposed to be a huge season ending contest with SEC and possibly BCS Championship implications. Now those hopes have long since been dashed with neither team having much to play for in this finale.
Nebraska can clinch the Legends division this weekend with a victory at Iowa. This team has been special at home but not nearly as convincing on the road.
