Giants vs Falcons NFL Football Spread/Handicapping
A playoff rematch from last year and possibly a playoff preview. The Falcons are looking to get even with the Giants for embarrassing them and eliminating them from the playoffs a year ago.
The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.
A playoff rematch from last year and possibly a playoff preview. The Falcons are looking to get even with the Giants for embarrassing them and eliminating them from the playoffs a year ago.
Another early bowl matchup that will probably be better than a lot of the action as the New Year approaches. The teams have just 5 losses between them and either can put a scare in almost any team in the country.
Some of the early bowl games wind up being the best and I think this is a good candidate. Both teams can put points on the board and are not that far from home so there should be a good atmosphere for this Bowl Season kickoff.
The Hawks may not be the favourite but many expect them to compete in the challenging Atlantic 10 conference this season. To date they have put the conference on notice by beating a very good Notre Dame team and losses to Florida State and Creighton are nothing to be ashamed of.
BYU might is no longer a part of the Mountain West Conference but they still played a few games against some familiar foes this season. This will be a chance to show the MWC that they are still a program to be reckoned with.
The Chargers are doing their usual disappointment dance while Pittsburgh has been hanging in there without Big Ben. He is supposed to return and with him comes very strong playoff hopes.
Is anyone going to score in this one. This game features two of the worst offensive teams in the league, one with nothing to play for, the other with little to play for. Exciting Stuff.
New York Jets (5-7) vs Jacksonville Jaguars (2-10)
Sunday December 9
EverBank Field – Jacksonville, FL
1:00PM
Moneyline: New York Jets -150, Jacksonville +130 at Bovada
Spread: New York Jets -3
O/U: 38.5
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New York Jets
The Jets win last week, 7-6 against Arizona, had to be one of the ugliest games you will see all season long. The good news for New York fans is that the Jets have won two of their last three, the bad news is that they are embroiled in an expected QB controversy.
I believe Mark Sanchez is still technically the starter but for how much longer…The sad thing is that he still probably gives this team the best chance to win. It might be interesting to see them give local hero Tim Tebow the start this week though.
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Odds are he would have some success as there is no way Jacksonville would have a lot installed for his type play.
The Jets defense should be able to handle whatever Jacksonville throws at them…At 6-6 ATS the Jets are a miserable team to try and predict and there is no pattern in their behaviour really when it comes to home, road, favourite or underdog.
This team is just plain mediocre though that should be good enough this weekend.
Jacksonville
The Jags couldn’t keep up their winning ways last week losing without putting up much of a fight against Buffalo on the road. [soliloquy id=”82219″]
This roster is light on talent and has been made even thinner thanks to numerous injuries.
Even though they are playing New York it is surprising they are getting as much respect as they are – just a 3 point dog…T
he Jags have shown a little bit of life with QB Chad Henne at the helm and the coaching staff is already saying he could be the starter next season depending on how things turn out. Top rusher Maurice Jones Drew might have been able to find some room now that the passing game is more competent but he is still sidelined and might not play again this season…
When they are large dogs the Jags have risen to the occasion but in scenarios like these they have been just as likely to roll over as not.
Even at home you have to be careful picking a team like Jacksonville because they just don’t put many points on the board.
At -3, no way but it if creep higher, against the Jets…
Maybe.
Spread Pick: New York -3
O/U Pick: Over
Score Prediction: New York 24 – Jacksonville 20
Even though these teams are in the same state they haven’t met since 2008. Baltimore is the vastly more experienced team but Washington is hotter coming into this one.
The top and bottom of the NFC South square off in Carolina. Could be a letdown situation for the Falcons who got the Saints monkey off their back in Prime Time last Thursday night.
The Eagles season has been over for a while, the only thing left to be seen is how far they will actually fall. That should mean an easy victory for Tampa who is unexpectedly in the middle of a playoff push.
The Wolfpack haven’t played in a week since losing at Michigan in the ACC/Big Ten Challenge. The loss was their second in their last three outings which is opening up some pretty big questions about this supposed National Championship contender.
It is going to be interesting to see just how much Oklahoma State has left in the tank for this one. They lost a heartbreaker last week at Oklahoma in overtime and now are on the road against Baylor, who has proven they have the ability to beat very good teams.
Oklahoma State Cowboys (7-4) vs Baylor Bears (6-5)
Saturday December 1
Floyd Casey Stadium – Waco, TX
12:00PM
Moneyline: Oklahoma State-185, Baylor +160
Spread: Oklahoma State -4.5
O/U: 81
Oklahoma State
Usually the Bedlam game is the last one of the season but this year, with no conference title game, the Big 12 has mixed things up., I am not sure the schedule change benefits anyone.
The Cowboys defense is never great but they were even more culpable last week allowing Landry Jones to throw for an even 500 yards. They couldn’t cover anybody with three Sooners receivers topping 100 yards. Baylor also has a great passing offense so it could be another long day for the Cowboys secondary.
On offense, QB Clint Chelf had his worst game since assuming the starting job. He will have to rebound and play well, both for this game and to be considered for the top job next year.
Did you notice that total of 81.5 points, it might be the biggest of the year, which means they are expecting neither team to be playing much defense. As a result, I think you can look at it from the perspective of identifying which team you think will win and make it so they win by 7 or more. If that team is Oklahoma State then play them with confidence.
Baylor
Baylor followed their shocking upset of Kansas State with another impressive victory last week at Texas Tech. [soliloquy id=”82219″]
In both games they scored 52 points as they have one of the most explosive offenses in the country. They have to be feeling pretty good now but the win last week made them bowl eligible so they don’t have as much to play for as they would have had they lost. They are catching the Cowboys at a good time though.
Lost in the hoopla was the fact that quarterback Nick Florence wasn’t all that great in the upset of K-State. The same couldn’t be said last week against the Red Raiders when he threw for nearly 400 yards. When Florence has a big day you can count on receiver Terrance Williams having a good one too. He had 175 yards last week, amazingly that is only his 4th best game of the season. Baylor has plenty of offense to make this a very fun and interesting contest.
Baylor has been killing it ATS of late, winning the last four and 5 of the last 6. In more than half of those games they were the underdog so they are used to this role. They have been a solid bet at home too with a 4-1 ATS record. Trying to guess the emotional state of teams is difficult but if you are going to take Baylor it has to be in part because you think OSU might come out a little sluggish. If they do Baylor could bury them in a hurry.
Spread Pick: Oklahoma State -4.5
O/U Pick Over
Score Prediction: Oklahoma State 55 – Baylor 45
Pitt has had an up and down season…literally. They have gone the season in this order, two losses, two wins, two more losses, two more wins, two more losses. After winning last week they are hoping to maintain that form and pick up the final win they need to become bowl eligible.
The Colts are getting no respect as dogs of more than a field goal on the road against one of the most mercurial teams in the league. Last week they were solid in their victory against Buffalo and have won 5 of their last 6 including 2 on the road.
Panthers vs Chiefs NFL Football Spread/Handicapping
This was supposed to be a game between two teams looking to rise in their respective conferences, perhaps even challenge for the playoffs. Instead we have a real dog with little importance, doesn’t mean we can’t try and make some money off it though.
Buccaneers vs Broncos NFL Football Spread/Handicapping
An interesting inter-conference matchup on Sunday featuring a couple of teams that are very different but having success. The Bucs definitely need this one more than the Broncos but it is always tough for a team to win at Mile High, especially one as green as Tampa, who might be winded from last week.