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Team records:
Houston: 23-18 SU, 21-20 ATS
San Antonio: 25-16 SU, 21-19-1 ATS
Tonight, 8:30 p.m. ET
Sportsbook favorite: Spurs -6
Just when we thought the Spurs had caught fire and wouldn’t look back, they’ve dropped three of four. They haven’t shot the ball well of late – they shot just 39.3 per cent at home on Wednesday – and their defense has even sagged. Usually, the only time we see San Antonio struggle is when injuries mount, but no one is particularly nicked up save for Michael Finley.
The plucky Houston Rockets refuse to fade out of the West playoff hunt without Yao and Tracy McGrady, at least managing to beat up on weaker teams like New York, Minnesota and Milwaukee this month. 
A major part of their success – and a symbol of their ability to defy the odds – is speedy, small guard Aaron Brooks. He’s blossomed into a scorer in his third NBA season and is averaging 21.3 points per game this month.
Call me crazy, but I sense an upset tonight. The Spurs under Gregg Popovich are just so calm; losses at this point in the season don’t faze them or motivate them to bounce back. They know they’ll make the playoffs and they won’t expend too much energy before they have to. The Rockets, meanwhile, are fighting tooth and nail, treating every night like it’s the last day of the season. I think they’ll be the more inspired team tonight in this cross-state battle.
NBA Betting Trends:
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston’s last 9 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Houston’s last 13 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston’s last 6 games
Houston is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Antonio’s last 9 games when playing at home against Houston
San Antonio is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of San Antonio’s last 13 games when playing Houston
San Antonio is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home
Pick: Rockets +6
Shea Matthews lives and breathes sports. He made the transition from athlete to sports journalist at a young age, writing in TV & national newspapers. He now applies his knowledge to sports betting and handicapping every day, and shares his winning picks with the world.
