Rangers vs M’s Baseball Picks
The Rangers just swept Oakland and thus will be heading into Seattle in first place in the AL West with an AL leading 14 victories. Texas is red hot right now having won 8 of 9 starting with the final three of their last set with the Mariners.
Texas Rangers (14-8) vs. Seattle Mariners (8-13)
Friday April 25
Safeco Field – Seattle, WA
TEX: Robbie Ross (L)
SEA: Roenis Elias (L)
Moneyline: Seattle -106, Texas -102
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Other than Martin Perez’ current scoreless streak nothing is really standing out with the Rangers right now other than they are doing it without a number of key contributors. Jurickson Profar and Adrian Beltre are on the DL and Shin-Soo Choo is questionable for Friday.
Texas has been getting very good starting pitching and that includes the starts from Robbie Ross, who doesn’t look like he will be returning to the pen anytime soon.
Ross has a 2.31 ERA in the young season and a big reason are the 7 shutout innings he threw against the Mariners in his lone win on the season.
Only once in 4 starts has he given up more than 2ER and this time will take on Seattle in pitcher friendly Safeco.
While Texas has been soaring the Mariners have been sinking.
They had lost 8 games in a row before ending their slide with a series closing win against Houston. If they had lost that one it would have been the Mariners not the Astros in last place. However, it is still relatively early and thankfully for Seattle their pitching has been solid.
It is the offense that is the problem. Robinson Cano is hitting below expectations at .280 and others are well off what you would expected. Kyle Seager is batting .179, ouch.
Rookie Roenis Elias has been better than expected this season.
He is giving up a few too many walks but is keeping the balling in the park and not giving up a ton of hits. His lone win on the season was against the Rangers in a game in which he gave up just one run over 6 innings.
It was the deepest he has gone in any start this season – he needs to start giving them some more innings or else they are going to burn out their bullpen.
Both of these starters have had success against their opponents recently. Since we are still writing the book on both I think we can expect a low scoring game. I see no reason to back the home side and given the way both teams are playing the value on Texas is better than expected.
It is the smart play.
Total prediction: Under
Score prediction: Texas 4 – Seattle 3