Venue/ Stadium: Bill Snyder Stadium, MANHATTAN, KS
Time/Date: 3:30 PM EST Saturday, October 29, 2011
NCAA Odds From: BetOnline
Moneyline: Oklahoma -500 / KSU +405
Spread (ATS): Oklahoma -13.5
Over/Under: 59.5
No. 9 Oklahoma Sooners vs. No. 8 Kansas State Wildcats Preview
Last week Oklahoma (6-1) had their 39-home winning streak snapped with a shocking loss to Texas Tech and to stay in the hunt for the Big 12 title they will have to beat Kansas State (7-0). The Wildcats are undefeated and the next few games will show if they are a legit Big 12 title and BCS contender, as after Oklahoma they face the ranked teams of Oklahoma State, Texas A&M, and Texas. NCAAF lines have Oklahoma as big 13.5-point away favorites with a total of 59.5.
In their last games Oklahoma was a 4-TD betting favorite, but lost to Texas Tech 41-38 and Kansas State crushed rival Kansas 59-21.
The Sooners’ defense failed to show up last week in the loss to Texas Tech giving up 452 passing yards and 120 rushing yards. They will likely not give up a ton of passing yards, as the Wildcats are all about the run ranking 19th in the nation in rushing yards per game, but only 110th in passing yards per game. For the Sooners’ defense their goal is to contain rushing QB Collin Klein (637 rushing yards 14 TD) and RB John Hubert (637 yards 2 TD). If they can keep these guys from racking up a ton of rushing yards they will easily win this game.
Oklahoma ranks 28th in the nation in run defense. Klein did have 195 passing yards with 1 TD in the win over Kansas, but if he has to carry the offense with his arm KSU will be in trouble. [soliloquy id=”82219″]
Oklahoma and their nation’s 4th ranked passing offense is led by Landry Jones, who threw for 412 yards with 5 TD and 1 INT in the loss to Texas Tech. He has a solid WR corps, especially NCAA’s all time reception leader WR Ryan Broyles, and the main reason OU is a big favorite is that KSU only ranks 87th in the nation defending the pass.
Sooners’ lead RB Dominique Whaley (627 yards 9 TD) did not play in the Tech game, but he will play this Saturday. While the Wildcats do not have a good pass defense their run defense ranks a solid 13th in the nation. Still, if they cannot keep Jones from lighting up the scoreboard KSU will suffer their first loss of the season.
Betting Trends
This season Kansas State is 6-1 ATS and has an Over/Under record of 4-3 and Oklahoma is 4-3 ATS and also has an Over/Under record of 4-3.
Oklahoma is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 10.5 points or more, and has an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Kansas State is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and has an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Jason’s Pick: I think KSU is overrated and because their pass defense is weak Jones is going to light them up, as the Sooners will win and cover the 11.5-point spread. Take the Over as well, as KSU will not get blanked and OU will score a ton of points.
