Venue/ Stadium: Kyle Field, COLLEGE STATION, TX
Time/Date: 12 PM EST Saturday, October 29, 2011
NCAA Odds From: BetOnline
Moneyline: Missouri +365 / Texas A&M -440
Spread (ATS): Texas A&M -11
Over/Under: 62.5
Missouri Tigers vs. No 16 Texas A&M Aggies Preview
Texas A&M (5-2) has gotten over their 2 close losses this season with 3 straight wins and their offense, which ranks 13th in the nation in scoring, has kept on rolling. Missouri (3-4) is under .500 and the underdog in this game, but the Tigers are solid on both sides of the ball and all of their losses this season have come to teams that are currently ranked in the top 25. NCAAF lines has Texas A&M as 11-point favorites in this Big 12 game with a total of 62.5.
In their last games Texas A&M beat Iowa State 33-17 and Missouri lost to Oklahoma State 45-24.
Something has got to give in this game, as Texas A&M is giving up 79.9 rushing yards per game, which is the fewest in the Big 12, while Missouri is averaging 238.1 rushing yards per game.
Ryan Tannehill leads the Aggies and their 19th ranked passing offense and he has several solid targets and will be facing a Mizzou pass defense that ranks 86th in the nation and gave up 338 passing yards to Oklahoma State last week. The Tigers have a decent pass rush with 15 sacks on the season and getting to Tannehill is key since their secondary is sketchy. [soliloquy id=”82219″]
The Aggies have the nation’s 14th ranked rushing offense and the RB duo of Christine Michael and Cyrus Gray have combined to rush for over 1,350 yards this season. Mizzou has the nation’s 41st ranked run defense and it is pretty simple for them, as they have to play good all around D against a high scoring offense of A&M and if they do not their offense will have to bail them out.
The Texas A&M defense is Jekyll and Hyde, as they have the nations worst pass defense, but the 5th best run defense. Their D has one goal in this game and that is to contain duel threat Missouri QB James Franklin and RB Henry Josey. The Aggies have the advantage since the strength of the Mizzou offense is running the ball, but stopping Posey will not be easy, as he has averaged 8.6 yards per carry this season and has rushed for over 100 yards in 4 of his last 5 games.
Franklin may have to do it all if A&M stuffs the run and the duo of T.J. Moe and TE Michael Egnew will have to make some big plays down the field.
Mizzou’s offensive line must play well, as Texas A&M has the most sacks in the nation this season.
On the season Missouri is 4-3 ATS and has an Over/Under record of 4-3 and Texas A&M is 2-5 ARS and has an Over/Under record of 4-3.
Betting Trends
Mizzou is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 10.5 points or more and has an Over record of 5-2 in their last 7 games facing a team with a winning record.
Texas A&M is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite, and has an Under record of 7-3 in their last 10 home games.
Jason’s Pick: I Like Mizzou, but have to go with Texas A&M in this game, as they are simply too good on offense and they have a great run defense. Take the Aggies to win and cover and since Mizzou will score some points I think the Over is the way to go.
