Saturday MLB Betting – Angels vs Twins Preview & Pick
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Date: Saturday, May 28, 2011
Venue: Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
Broadcast: FOX
Los Angeles Angers at Minnesota Twins Betting Lines from Bodog.com
Money Line: Angels -115
Over/Under: 7 (-110)
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Los Angeles Angels (26-26 through May 26)
Jered Weaver (6-4, 2.35)
What a weird season for Jered Weaver. Remember the blistering, 6-0 start? He followed it up with four straight losses and a no-decision. Law of Averages, we bow to your power.
Of course, the slump isn’t all Weaver’s fault. He hasn’t exactly been shellacked; he still hasn’t allowed more than four runs in a game this season. But the offense around him hasn’t been that great.
The Angels are 23rd in the majors in runs scored. It doesn’t help that Vernon Wells, Howie Kendrick and Kendrys Morales are on the DL. At least rookie Mark Trumbo has been a nice story; he leads the team in homers with eight.
Minnesota Twins (16-32 through May 26)
Francisco Liriano (3-5, 5.73)
The Houston Astros started the season 15-30 the last time they went to the World Series but I don’t think a similar turnaround is in the cards for the hapless Minnesota Twins this season.
They’re dead last in baseball in both runs scored and runs allowed. Impressive stuff. They’re also still without their best player , Joe Mauer (bilateral leg weakness), and Justin Morneau is clearly playing through some kind of neck injury.
Francisco Liriano, who starts Saturday, has shown some hints of a turnaround. In his last four outings, he’s allowed two earned runs or fewer three times and tossed a no-hitter. But his command is still quite poor. He’s walked four-plus batters in more than half his starts.
MLB Trends:
LAA are 1-7 in their last 8 games following a win.
Under is 6-1-1 in Weavers last 8 Sat. starts.
Under is 12-3-1 in Weavers last 16 road starts.
MIN are 7-19 in their last 26 home games.
MIN are 18-44 in their last 62 overall.
MIN are 16-39 in their last 55 games on grass.
Over is 15-4-2 in the last 21 meetings.
The pick:
At this beginning of the season this would’ve looked like a marquee game to watch on Fox. Now I think it shapes up to be a dud. Offense will be hard to come by, but I think the Angels will slip by since Liriano will help put them on base by missing the plate often.
Angels vs Twins prediction: Angels 4, Twins 1
