2010 NFL Team Odds, Preview, & Predictions- Buffalo Bills
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Buffalo Current Odds to Win:
Bills AFC East Odds – 20/1
Bills AFC Championship Lines – 50/1
Bills 2011 Super Bowl Futures – 100/1
Buffalo Bills Season Over/Under Win Total – 5.5
In the last 10 seasons Buffalo has been a far cry from its glory days of the late 80’ and 90’s, recording only one winning season.
What makes the Bills interesting is that they have averaged close to seven wins a season during that span, but have been unable to get themselves over the hump. Last year they stayed true to form with a 6-10 record and another last place finish in the AFC East.
A reversal of fortunes in 2010 does not seem likely as the three other teams in their division have taken the right steps to improve, while this team may have actually taken a step backwards through some of its offseason losses in player personnel as compared to its gains.
The main problem with Buffalo lies in its anemic offense. Last season the team finished the year ranked 30th overall and 28th in total points per game with 16.1. The Bills passing offense was ranked 30th,averaging just 157.2 yards per game and the rushing offense averaged 116.7 yards per game, ranking them 16th.
New head coach Chan Gaily has already stated there will be a competition for the team’s starting quarterback position. Trent Edwards, Ryan Fitzpatrick, and Brian Brohm are all vying for the job with the early edge going to Edwards given the fact he has the most experience of the three. Undoubtedly, their play in the preseason will determine who will be the starter in the regular season opener against Miami on September 12th.
WR’s Terrell Owens and Josh Reed are gone, so that leaves Lee Evans as the Bills primary receiver; further weakening the passing game. One thing they should be able to do is run the ball. Fred Jackson, who led the team last year with 1,062 rushing yards and Marshawn Lynch are back and joined by first round draft pick C.J. Spiller in what promises to be a crowded but talented backfield.
The Bills defense was actually not that bad last season especially against the pass where they were ranked second in the league. The problem was they could not stop the run, giving up an average of 156.3 yards per game on the ground. This situation will not be helped by the injury to LB Chris Kelsay on the first day of training camp or the release of their leading pass rusher, Aaron Schobel, who could not decide whether or not he was retiring altogether from the sport.
The Bills are hoping that second round pick DT Torell Troup and third round pick DE Alex Carrington will be able to add some depth to a very thin defensive line as well as help to improve the team’s run defense.
One area that Buffalo does have some veteran strength is on special teams. Kicker Rian Lindell is entering his 11th season in the NFL and punter Brian Moorman is entering his 10th. Last season Lindell connected on 28 of his 33 field goal attempts and was a perfect 24 for 24 on PAT’s.
A number of things would have to go right for Buffalo to avoid another losing season. Unfortunately, the lack of overall talent on this team does not give the Bills much of a chance to turn things around this year. With the quarterback position unsettled and only one top flight receiver, they will have to rely on a strong defense and running game to try and win. All this in my book adds up to an actual step backwards in 2010.
2010 Prediction: 4th in the AFC East
Win Total: UNDER
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David Schwab is a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. While not cheering for his beloved Philadelphia Eagles David can be found working on his blog. David wants to hear from you so please comment below.
