2010 NFL Team Odds, Preview, & Predictions- Miami Dolphins
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Miami Current Odds to Win:
Dolphins AFC East Odds – 3/1
Dolphins AFC Championship Lines – 16/1
Dolphins 2011 Super Bowl Futures – 30/1
Miami Dolphins Season Over/Under Win Total – 8.5
Over the past three seasons Miami has provided the ultimate roller coaster ride for its fans. In 2007 the Dolphins dipped down to the very bottom, finishing with the worst record in the NFL at 1-15. In 2008, after hiring Bill Parcells as team President and Tony Sparano as their new head coach they magically rose back up to the top, winning the AFC East with an 11-5 record.
It was back down the hill in 2009 as the team finished 7-9 and out of the playoffs.
The big question now for Miami in 2010 is does it head back up the hill or continue its downward decent?
Dolphin quarterback Chad Pennington went down with an injury early last season and was replaced by Chad Henne. Henne’s numbers were far from stellar(2,878 passing yards with 12 TD’s and 14 interceptions in 14 games) but heading into this season he is the best player at the QB position they have on the roster.
His primary receivers this year will be Davone Bess, who led the team in 2009 with 76 receptions for 758 yards, and Greg Camarillo, who added another 50 receptions for 552 yards. The biggest addition to this group was Brandon Marshall, who came to the team through a trade with Denver. He is coming off minor hip surgery, but is expected to be ready to go by opening day.
Miami’s primary strength on offense will still be its running game led by Ronnie Brown and 10 year veteran Ricky Williams. Brown rushed for 648 yards before missing the final seven games with a foot injury.
Williams filled in admirably, rushing for 1,121 yards in what was his first 1000 yard season since 2003. Overall the Dolphins offense finished last season ranked 17th overall but fourth in rushing, averaging 139.4 yards per game.
The Dolphins’ defense struggled across the board last season, finishing the year ranked 22nd overall and 25th in points per game allowed. Their pass defense was ranked 24th, giving up an average of 234.6 yards per game in the air while their rushing defense was almost as bad, giving up 114.7 yards per game on the ground ranking them 18th.
To try and right the ship, Miami decided to bring in Mike Nolan as the new defensive coordinator. The first order of business was to address the line by drafting DT Jared Odrick in the first round and DE Koa Misi in the second.
The team also signed former Arizona LB Karlos Dansby as an unrestricted free agent.
There is a solid core of quality players on this team and some experts are predicting that the Dolphins are actually the team to beat in the AFC East this season, not the Patriots or Jets. While I do not disagree that Miami has the ability to compete in the East, I do not think the defense has improved enough to overtake the top spot.
Another area of concern is at quarterback. Chad Henne showed signs he could be a big time player in this league, but has yet to demonstrate that he can play at a high level over the course of a 16 game schedule.
Until this is the case he remains more of a liability as opposed to an asset.
2010 Prediction: 3rd in the AFC East
Win Total: UNDER
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David Schwab is a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. While not cheering for his beloved Philadelphia Eagles David can be found working on his blog. David wants to hear from you so please comment below.
