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Free Pick: 2014 American League Championship Series Odds – Royals vs. Orioles

2014 ALCS Gambling Online

These teams are definitely constructed differently.

If you dig the long ball then Baltimore is your choice led by Nelson Cruz, who I think has more home runs this season than the entire Royals starting nine have in their careers.

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2014 American League Championship Series
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles
Series Odds:  Kansas City +124, Baltimore -144
***2014 MLB Betting BONUSES***
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Matchup | Preview

Starting Lineups

Cruz and Adam Jones form a potent 1-2 punch for Baltimore…If you value being able to manufacture runs than you can not argue that Kansas City’s get on base, move’em over and get’em in philosophy has merit.

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No Royals hit 20 homers or drove in 80 runs.  I do think that the Orioles have the stronger, more experienced lineup but I love the fact that nobody struck out less during the regular season than Kansas City.

They put the ball in play and force you to respond.

Advantage:  Baltimore (with a philosophical edge to the Royals)

Bench

Baltimore might have gotten the nod here but injuries have already revealed the depth they had behind the likes of Manny Machado, Chris Davis and Matt Wieters – who saw Steve Pearce coming and catcher Caleb Joseph has been a stabilizing force even though this offense is light.

For Kansas City they regularly look to contributions from speedsters Jarrod Dyson and Terrence Gore. Veteran bats Josh Willingham and Raul Ibanez can still put a charge in the ball in the right situation.

How is this for rare, Gore had just one regular season AB with the club but is indispensable now.

Advantage:  Kansas City

Starting Pitching

In terms of raw stuff the Royals definitely have the edge. The Royals’ James Shields is the best starter on either team and Yordano Ventura and Danny Duffy are young premium arms who have developed pretty quickly.

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The Orioles are very solid one through four with but nobody has dominating stuff and Chris Tillman and Wei Yin Chen hardly strike fear in opponents. The questions is what are you looking for in a starting staff in the playoffs, consistency or potential dominance – a lot of it has to do with the kinds of offenses you have.

My preference is for shutdown stuff and the Royals are built to win 2-1 while the O are happy to engage in much higher scoring games.

Advantage:  Kansas City

Relief Pitching

Baltimore closer Zach Britton seems to have finally found a role for himself in the Majors. He has been dominant since assuming the role this season and he gives the O’s great confidence late in game. He has great support too from the likes of LH Andrew Miller and RH Darren O’Day.

Similar to the starting rotation if you are looking for pure stuff it is hard to get much better than tjhe Royals trio of Greg Holland, Wade Davis and Kelvin Herrera.  It is a young pen full of players who probably don’t realize what is going on around them…and that is for the better.

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Did you see Finnegan against Oakland. Dude was pitching for TCU a couple of months back.

Advantage:  Tie

Manager

I fully respect Ned Yost and admire what he has done with the team but this is the biggest gap between the two clubs. Orioles manager Buck Showalter has won more and been in more of these kinds of situations over his career. Further.

The way this team took off in the second half and didn’t look back was pretty amazing given their personnel losses. You can’t criticize them now but maybe the Royals shouldn’t have been fighting for their playoff lives to the bitter end.

Advantage:  Orioles

Though the question remains just how much a manager really makes a difference.

4* FREE MLB Series prediction:  Royals win in 7 games.

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N.Y. Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Picks & MLB Handicapping Odds

New York vs Baltimore MLB Gambling Tips

Before rain postponed Tuesday’s contest, the Orioles had scored 36 runs over their last four games, including 11 in Monday’s series opening victory over the visiting New York Yankees.

The O’s will try to keep that offensive momentum going when the take on the Yankees in game three on Wednesday night on ESPN.

NYY: Michael Pineda (R) (2-2, 1.83 ERA) v BAL: Chris Tillman (R) (9-5, 3.73ERA)
Date/Time: 7:05 pm ET Wednesday, August 13, 2014
Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland
Broadcast: ESPN
Line: Orioles -123
Total: OFF

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Chris Davis, Nelson Cruz and Jonathan Schoop all hit home runs in game one for Baltimore (68-50), who are winners of 11 of their last 15 games.

Cruz has fueled the Orioles offense with six RBIs in his last three games and Adam Jones has eight hits in his last four games, as Baltimore has gone 8-3 so far in the month of August and is 18 games above .500.

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Meanwhile, after Monday’s defeat, the Yankees (61-57) have lost three in a row.

An inconsistent offense that had produced three or less runs in six of its last eight games, has been a real problem for New York, with the exception of a retiring Derek Jeter, who has a hit in nine of his last 10 games.
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Looking to put an end to Jetter’s hitting streak will be Orioles starter Chris Tillman, who is 9-5 with a 3.73 ERA and has 102 strikeouts in 149.2 innings.

The right-hander is 5-5 with a 5.64 ERA in 12 career starts against the Yankees, and is coming off a solid performance against St. Louis, in which he gave up two runs and four hits in 6 2/3 innings.

The Yankees will counter with 25-year-old Michael Pineda, who is 2-2 with a 1.83 ERA and has 15 strikeouts in 19.2 innings. The right-handed Dominican made two rehabilitation starts this month and struck out 11 in 7 2/3 innings.

He is 0-0 with a 2.77 ERA in two career starts against the Orioles.

MLB Betting Trends

  • Under is 6-2 in NYY last 8 overall.
  • Under is 6-2 in NYY last 8 on grass.
  • NYY are 43-21 in their last 64 Wed. games.
  • Under is 20-8-1 in Tillmans last 29 home starts.
  • BAL are 7-3 in Tillmans last 10 starts.
  • BAL are 7-3 in Tillmans last 10 starts on grass.
  • NYY are 4-9 in the last 13 meetings in Baltimore.

Notes:

1. Yankees SS Derek Jeter owns a .400 career average (8-for-20) against Tillman.
2. Baltimore has scored 36 runs over its last four games.
3. Orioles 3B Manny Machado will be re-evaluated Wednesday after spraining his right knee on Monday. The team is still deciding whether or not to place him on the disabled list.

Matt’s Free Prediction: Orioles –

The Orioles are 7-3 in Tillman’s last 10 starts overall, while the Yanks are 4-9 in the last 13 meetings at Camden Yard.

And while New York has looked good as of late, with the exception of its minor losing streak, I like the Orioles to win in a big way at home in this one.

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Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Free Pick & Odds

MLB Predictions: Red Sox vs Blue Jays Lines

The Toronto Blue Jays host the Boston Red Sox on Monday in the opening game of a four-game set at the Rogers Center. Neither side sits where they would like to in the American League East, and the loser of this series will only be digging themselves a deeper hole.

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Chicago White Sox vs. KC Royals Gambling Odds & MLB Free Prediction

White Sox vs Royals Baseball Picks

The White Sox have won the first two games of this series by 7-6 scores, illustrating their good hit, poor pitch nature.

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MLB Lines – Marlins vs Padres

Miami kicks off an 11-game road trip against the Padres on Thursday, and will hope that it can improve its road record, which boasts just two wins on the season, against San Diego who took two of three at the Marlins earlier this season.

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Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Gambling Odds & MLB Free Prediction

Reds vs Pirates Baseball Picks

Cincinnati comes into this series with some momentum having taken two of three in Chicago and two of three the previous series against the Pirates.

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Astros vs Blue Jays Baseball Picks

Not much is expected from Houston this season so their start could be considered fantastic as they have certainly not embarrassed themselves, at least not in terms of wins and losses.

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Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangers Gambling Prediction & MLB Preview

Cincinnati (45-35) vs Texas (47-33)

The Cincinnati Reds have a nice record and a solid lead on that second Wild Card spot but they are slipping in the National League Central. They used to be neck and neck with Pittsburgh but the Pirates have raced ahead of late, zooming to the top of the league standings.

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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Oakland A’s Gambling Prediction & MLB Preview

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Heading into the weekend St. Louis is tied with Pittsburgh atop the National League Central and all of baseball.

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N.Y. Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Gambling Prediction & MLB Preview

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By virtue of the Yankees loss and the Orioles’ win on Thursday night New York find themselves a half game back of the O’s heading into the weekend.  Worse yet, there seems to be too much focus off the field on players that are not contributing to the team at all – I wonder who that could be.

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Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Gambling Prediction & MLB Preview

Toronto (39-38) vs Boston (46-33)

The Toronto Blue Jays did their usual thing in Tampa…lose. This time it put an end to their 11 game winning streak which tied a franchise best. The Jays were able to take at least one game from the Rays as R.A. Dickey dominated them in the finale on Wednesday.

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Philadelphia Phillies vs. L.A. Dodgers Gambling Prediction & MLB Preview

Philadelphia (38-41) vs. Los Angeles (35-42)

For a moment it looked like the Philadelphia Phillies were going to start mounting a charge in the National League East. But with inconsistency in their everyday lineup and throughout the rotation (except for Cliff Lee) it just hasn’t happened.

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Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Gambling Prediction & MLB Preview

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Cincinnati is looking to close some ground in the National League Central but couldn’t take advantage of a loss by St. Louis and finished yesterday behind Pittsburgh in a fun race to watch.

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Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Gambling Prediction & MLB Preview

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The Texas Rangers drew first blood in this series between former World Series combatants (2011). Texas took the first game and if they keep winning they might use this series to reclaim first place in the American League West. Not exactly a true measure of revenge but better than nothing.

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L.A. Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres Gambling Prediction & MLB Preview

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The Los Angeles Dodgers are in last place and fading, with the worst record in the National League West Over the last 10 games.