One of the most under used keys in college football handicapping is motivational angles. Let down, look ahead, and bounce back games are some of the most profitable situations year after year in college football, yet most people don’t look at them, especially with the less popular teams. Mediocre to below average BCS conference teams are very capable of having huge swings in performance.
This week we focused our research efforts on teams that are coming off straight up losses as large favorites in their last game and what happens to them the following week. Here is what we uncovered for this week’s college football action.
System: Play AGAINST a team (not a favorite of 16+ points or underdog of 28+ points) off a SU loss as a favorite of 19+ points against a +.375% foe in its last game.
The Missouri Tigers (8-2 SU, 4-5 ATS, 4-5 O/U) have won three straight games in the BetUS Sportsbook but have failed to cover the spread in each of their last two outings. The Iowa State Cyclones (2-8 SU, 4-5 ATS, 6-3 O/U) have lost eight straight games and probably want to see their 2008-09 season come to a swift end soon.
