Week 3: Indianapolis vs Jacksonville Expert Preview
Week 3 of the NFL season will see a match-up between the Indianapolis Colts (0-2) and the Jacksonville Jaguars (0-2) at EverBank Field. Cappers Picks will provide free NFL picks all season.
Two winless AFC South teams will look to get into the win column for the first time this season when the Colts and Jags square off on Sunday in one of the least captivating games of the week.
Bet on NFL Week 3 Football!
Indianapolis vs. Jacksonville
When: Sunday, Sept 21st 2014 at 1:00pm ET
Where: EverBank Field
NFL Week 3 Gambling Line: Colts -7
NFL Week 3 Gambling O/U Line: 45 Points
This week’s match up between the Colts and Jaguars was probably pegged as a walk in the park for Indy, even before the season got underway. What many people likely didn’t see coming is that both teams would be at 0-2 records after two weeks of play.
Okay, perhaps most predicted that the Jags would still be without a win, but the Colts are 0-2 for the first time since 2011 when Peyton Manning went down with a neck injury. This start also marks the first time in his career that QB Andrew Luck has lost back to back games.
Since 1990, only 12 per cent of teams that start 0-2 have made the playoffs and if either team wants to buck that trend this week is a must win game.
Let’s start with the home team who have been pretty much par for the course to this point. The Jags are just not a good football team, it’s that simple. They showed some flashes early in week one against the Eagles, jumping out to a 17-0 lead at half, only to lose by a count of 34-17. In week two against another NFC East opponent in the Washington Redskins, they were torched by backup QB Kirk Cousins to the tune of 41-10.
If there’s one shred of a silver lining for the Jags this week it’s that they will get the comforts of home cooking, as their first two games of the year were on the road.
The Jags rank dead last in yards per game on offense 30th in points scored per game and dead last in points per game allowed on defense. It’s going to be a long year, sorry Jags fans.
If the Colts ever needed a game against Jacksonville, this is certainly it. After opening their season against two potent offenses in Denver and Philadelphia, the Colts get a break against one of, if not the worst offense in the league this week.
The Colts and Jags share not only their 0-2 records, but they were both victimized by Philadelphia Eagles comebacks. On Monday night the Colts looked to be in firm control and were eating the Eagles alive with their run game, storming out to a 20-6 lead at the half.
In the second half the Eagles made some adjustments on D and shut the run game down, and the Colts never quite recovered. Their defense ran out of gas late and the pace of Philly had them reeling.
NFL Week 3 Betting Trends
- IND are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. AFC South.
- IND are 13-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 17-5 in IND last 22 vs. AFC South.
- JAC are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 home games.
- Under is 13-4-1 in JAC last 18 vs. AFC South.
- JAC are 3-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Road team is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 meetings.
This week will be a different story, if the Colts jump out to a big lead at half, they should have no trouble closing the deal against an offense that has scored just three second half points to this point in the season.
Week 3 Colts vs. Jaguars 4* Free Pick
I don’t really see any reason why the Colts shouldn’t roll the Jaguars in this one. Seven points is very generous to Jacksonville and if this game were being played in Indy, I’d expect it to be more in the realm of 14 points.
ATS Pick Colts -7 (-105)
Home field won’t help the Jags out much this week as the Colts are a playoff caliber team that is going to be out for blood this week after a disappointing 0-2 start.
Check out our Updated NFL Week 3 Odds.