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Week 10 Falcons vs. Panthers NFL Predictions

Divisional bragging rights will be on the line on Sunday when the Atlanta Falcons and the Carolina Panthers meet at Bank of America Stadium.. We preview and pick this week 10 game that has the Falcons picked to win by 2…

NFL Game Odds: Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers

Atlanta Falcons (5-3 SU, 6-2 ATS) at Carolina Panthers (3-5 SU & ATS) -Sunday, November 15 – 1 PM ET

In the BetUS NFL odds, the Falcons are listed as a 1.5-point road favorite, with a posted total of 43 points.

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Here are some NFL football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:

ATL has covered four of its last five games
ATL has won eight of its last 12 games SU
ATL has played four of its last five games OVER the total
ATL has lost four of its last five road games SU
ATL has played four of its last five road games OVER the total
CAR has covered three of its last nine games
CAR has lost six of its last nine games SU
CAR has played four of its last six games UNDER the total
CAR has covered one of its last five home games
CAR has won nine of its last 12 home games SU
CAR has played four of its last five home games UNDER the total

Also…

ATL has won 16 of the last 23 meetings SU
ATL has won six of the last nine meetings SU as the road team Football Picks
The last five meetings in Charlotte have gone UNDER the total

Michael Turner looks like he has started to catch fire. The 2008 All-Pro, who had 1699 yards on the ground last season, has run for 151 and 166 yards the last two weeks, bringing his total at the halfway mark to 720 yards. When Turner is humming, that is what coach Mike Smith really likes. That is also what bettors against the NFL odds like.

We saw that DeAngelo Williams’ fumble in the end zone, which the Saints turned into a touchdown, was a killer, in a game Carolina looks very much like it was going to win. However, Williams is not the kind of guy who is going to do that very often (okay, three times this year, but only once in the previous three seasons), and the Panthers would gladly take a mistake every once in a while if it means they don’t have to lose his explosiveness.

Let’s not forget that Williams was third in the NFC in rushing last year with 1515, right behind Adrian Peterson and Turner, and he has ripped through defenses for 158 and 149 yards the last two weeks. Carolina has the added attraction of being able to use Jonathan Stewart in the backfield as well. That has accounted for 845 yards on the ground the last four weeks. Oh, and guess what? Jake Delhomme hasn’t thrown an interception the last two weeks! If he can play close to mistake-free, that is a big boost to Carolina’s chances in the NFL odds.

These teams have met; it was early, when Carolina was having a lot more trouble than it has now. The Panthers won the yardage battle (440-371) but lost 28-20. The Carolina defense has been doing its job, allowing just 77 ypg rushing over the last three weeks. If the Panthers haven’t carried over some depression from last week’s giveaway against New Orleans, we’re ready to hop on board with John Fox’s team as the 1.5-point home underdog in the BetUS NFL odds.

OUR PLAY: CAROLINA +1.5 ***

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By Cappers Picks

Articles on CappersPicks.com are written by Q (the Head Honcho) at Cappers Picks or by our resident "in house" handicapper Razor Ray Monohan! Enjoy the free picks folks! "Pad that bankroll one day at a time!"