St. Louis Rams vs San Francisco 49ers Preview
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Rams at 49ers NFL Lines
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Date/Time: Sunday, November 14, 4:15 PM ET
Venue: Candlestick Park, San Francisco, CA
Broadcast: FOX
St. Louis Rams vs. San Francisco 49ers Betting Lines from Sportsbetting.com
Money Line: Rams (+220) 49ers (-260)
Spread: 49ers -6
Over/Under: 37 ½
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St. Louis Rams vs. San Francisco 49ers Preview
This Sunday the 49ers (2-6) host the Rams (4-4) in an important NFC West match up for both teams. NFL lines have the 49ers as 6-point favorites in this game with a total of 37.5.
Both teams are coming off a bye and in their last game the 49ers beat the Denver Broncos 24-16 and the Rams beat the Carolina Panthers 20-10.
Even though neither of these teams is above .500 they are still in the NFC West race, which is the weakest division in the NFL. St. Louis is tied with Seattle for first place at 4-4 while the 49ers are only a couple games back. The Rams already have surpassed last season’s win total by 3, but they have not won a division game on the road in 3 years. That may change if Sam Bradford keeps playing well, as in the last 3 games he has 5 TD and 0 INT.
Even at 4 games under .500 the 49ers are still alive in the NFC West and they have won 2 of their last 3 games. Also, in their last 8 games they play 5 teams within their division. They have had the Rams’ number in the past few seasons winning 4 straight against them and 8 of their last 10 in San Francisco.
Heading into this game the Rams are 6-2 ATS and the 49ers are 3-5 ATS. The Rams have not only not fared well against the 49ers recently, but they have also have only covered the spread one time in their last 5 visits to San Francisco and the favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games between these 2 teams.
San Francisco will start QB Troy Smith for the 2nd straight game and in his first start of the season a couple weeks back he was 12/19 for 196 yards with 1 TD. He is more mobile in the backfield and will be facing a much-improved Rams’ defense that is especially strong against the run. They will need to be in this game since they will likely get a heavy dose of RB Frank Gore, who is 4th in the NFC with 691 rushing yards and was the first player in the league to have over 1,000 yards from scrimmage.
The offensive line of the 49ers has to protect Smith and give him time to find his targets of TE Vernon Davis and WR Michael Crabtree. St. Louis has the DE duo of James Hall (6.5 sacks) and Chris Long (4.5 sacks) and if they can get to Smith and keep Gore from having a big game the Rams may finally win in the Bay Area. This season the Rams have only given up more than 17 points 2 times this season.
Bradford has not turned the ball over in wins and has been plagued by the INT in the Rams’ losses. He does not have the best WR corps so he will have to be careful with the ball and he will likely not take too many shots down the field. However, he will be facing a 49ers secondary they has struggled all season and only ranks 20th in the league in pass defense. Where San Francisco has been solid is defending the run ranking 10th in the league. They will have to stop RB Steven Jackson, who has rushed for 676 yards this season, but has only averaged 3.9 yards per carry and last week had his 3-game streak of 100 yards rushing games snapped.
San Francisco has looked better in their last few games and I think they will come out and play well and Smith will have another solid game. However, while I think the 49ers will win I think it will be a very close game, so I am taking St. Louis to cover.
Betting Trends
St. Louis is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 3.5-10, and has an Under record of 8-3 in their last 11 road games.
San Francisco is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against teams in the NFC West.
Pick: Rams +6
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