Week Thirteen Gambling – Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions
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Bears at Lions
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Sunday December 5 – 1:00PM
Ford Field – Detroit Michigan
Broadcast: FOX
Chicago (8-3) -220 vs Detroit (2-9) +180 (Odds courtesy of BetUS)
Spread Favourite: Chicago -4.5
Over/Under: 42
(odds courtesy of BetUS – BET NOW Click Here!)
Chicago
With last week’s win and Green Bay’s loss the Bears are essentially two games ahead of the Packers with a chance to put even more pressure on them with a win against Detroit. Back in week one the Bears were outplayed by the Lions and won when a controversial call denied Detroit a touchdown. Now they have to visit the Lion’s den where they play much better than they do on the road.
Last week against Philadelphia the offense finally earned a win. Jay Cutler was superb throwing for 4 TDs with no interceptions and Matt Forte was able to run for more than 100 yards on the ground. With the Bears strong defense it is a simple winning formula but one they have had difficulty repeating this year. The Lions defense will make it a bit easier but the key is on the Chicago side as their wounds are often self inflicted i.e. turnovers.
The Bears might have been lucky in the opener but that made it 5 in a row against the Lions. To be fair to Detroit though that isn’t really saying much as recently Detroit has been downright awful. The Bears have been favoured in every game against Detroit since 2006. However they are only 4-5 ATS in those contests so sometimes even in a loss the Lions get the best of them. 
Detroit
The Lions are the scariest two win team in football. They have had some very close calls against good teams like the Jets and Philadelphia but haven’t been able to close the deal. Still with two wins already this could be the best year for the Lions in a while. Their closing schedule is no picnic but a win or two may be in the offing if they can just improve their defense a little bit to give their offense a chance to win the game.
No matter who has been operating the offense the Lions have been able to move the ball, especially through the air. Calvin Johnson is one of the scariest matchups in the league and he is on pace for his best year yet in terms of scoring. He is the one spot on the field where the Lions have a decisive advantage and they need to attack with him from the get go. This offense can be very good when they are clicking.
It will be up to the defense if they are going to pull the upset. Statistically they are not very good but with Jay Cutler on the other side anything can happen. One bad turnover could turn the game in the Lions favour as the Bears offense is still not very impressive. I expect a close contest…a battle.
The Pick: I like the Lions to make a stand and I don’t trust the Bears. It feels like a FG game that either team could win. Take the points and it you are gutsy call on the Lions for the upset.
NFL Gambling Trends
Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Bears are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Bears are 4-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Lions are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Lions are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.
Score Prediction: Detroit 27 – Chicago 24
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