NFL Handicapping – Cardinals vs Packers Betting Spread / Matchup
After a mediocre start the Packers (5-3) are looking like the Packers on the last few seasons and they have won 3 straight, but still trail the 6-1 Bears in the NFC North.
Venue/ Stadium: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
Time/Date: 1 PM EST Sunday, November 4, 2012
NFL Odds From: Sportsbook.ag
Moneyline: Cardinals +450 / Packers -600
Spread: Packers -10.5
Over/Under: 43.5
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Arizona Cardinals vs. Green Bay Packers Preview
On the other side of the coin the Cardinals (4-4) are in a free-fall losing their last 4 games where their offense has looked terrible. Not all is good in Green Bay though, as they are banged up and will be missing several players on both sides of the ball. NFL lines have the Packers as big 10.5-point favorites with a total of 43.5.
In their last games the Packers beat the Jacksonville Jaguars 24-15 while the Cardinals lost to the San Francisco 49ers 24-3.
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This season the Cardinals are 3-4-1 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 1-7 and the Packers are 3-5 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 5-3.
Aaron Rodgers has 11 TD and 0 INT in Green Bay’s 3-game winning streak, but he is without Greg Jennings and Jordy Nelson is questionable with a hamstring injury. Still, he has Randall Cobb, James Jones, and TE Jermichael Finley. While the Arizona pass defense does rank 4th in the league Alex Smith tore the secondary apart last week in the Cardinals loss to the 49ers. The Cardinals are tied with the Packers for the most sacks in the league and if they cannot get to Rodgers this game may get ugly. [soliloquy id=”82219″]
Alex Green has struggled to run the ball since becoming the starter when Cedric Benson went down with an injury, but he will be facing an Arizona run defense that ranks 21st in the league and gave up over 110 rushing yards in the loss to the 49ers.
John Skelton will get the start under center for the Cardinals and since they only rushed for a grand total of 7 yards in the loss to the 49ers he had a career high 32 completions in the game. He has Larry Fitzgerald and his main target, but will he have time to find them? Unlike Rodgers Skelton is not mobile and the Pack and Clay Mathews (9 sacks) will come after him all game.
The Cardinals have the 2nd worst rushing offense in the league and their leading rusher is Ryan Williams, who only has 164 rushing yards and has failed to average over 2.5 yards per carry in his last 2 games. The Green Bay run defense has been playing well and ranks 12th in the league.
In some betting trends for this NFC match up the Cardinals are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games, 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss, and they have an Under record of 4-0 in their last 4 games.
The Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win, and they have an Over record of 16-5 in their last 21 home games.
Jason’s Pick: Even giving 10.5 points this game is an easy pick, as the Packers will crushed the Cardinals and easily win and cover the spread.
