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NCAA Football

Week 9: Mustangs vs. Golden Hurricane Preview/Pick

Oddsmakers currently have the Golden Hurricane listed as 15½-point favorites versus the Mustangs, while the game’s total is sitting at 51½, here is a preview for the Southern Methodist Mustangs vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane plus a pick and lines betting angle…

College Football Betting: SMU Mustangs at Tulsa Golden Hurricane

SMU Mustangs (3-4 SU, 4-2 ATS) at Tulsa Golden Hurricane (4-3 SU, 3-2-1 ATS)
Saturday, October 31 – 2 PM ET

BetUS NCAA College Football Betting Odds: TULSA -16.5, Total 53

Here are some of the NCAAF betting trends as they relate to this matchup:

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SMU has covered four of its last six games
SMU has lost 21 of its last 25 games SU
SMU has covered two of its last seven games
SMU has lost 18 of its last 19 road games SU
SMU has played five of its last seven road games UNDER the total
TUL has won 16 of its last 22 games SU
TUL has won 13 of its last 15 home games SU
TUL has covered seven of its last eight home games

Also….

SMU has covered the last five meetings
SMU has won nine of the last 13 meetings SU
TUL has won four of the last six meetings SU
SMU has covered four of the last five meetings as the road team

Tulsa has a little extra time to prepare, after a very tough loss to UTEP in which they blew an eleven-point lead in the fourth quarter. That was disappointing for sure, but it has become apparent that the Golden Hurricane does not have the explosive it has had in the recent past, and that has been reflected in the college football betting numbers. In fact, as a team Todd Graham’s squad is gaining 171 yards less per game than it did last season. GJ Kinne, the first-year starter at quarterback for Tulsa, has not been the best protected quarterback in college football, suffering 28 sacks on the season. He has thrown 12 TD passes with just two interceptions. However, he is different than immediate predecessors Paul Smith and David Johnson in that he has just one 300-yard game on the season, coming against New Mexico.

Interestingly, Tulsa has been a better defensive club this season, allowing just 211 yards a game through the air, and they have done a more than serviceable job in slowing down opposing running games, allowing 3.3 yards a carry.

SMU’s quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell has an injury to his non-throwing shoulder, and is listed as a game-time decision. Mitchell had gone two straight starts prior to that without throwing an interception, after being picked off 10 times in his first four games. Kyle Padron, a freshman, came in for Mitchell last week and completed 11 of 16 passes for 141 yards in what was his first game action. He’s still green, which means that June Jones might be leaning a little more on Shawnbrey McNeal, who is the best running back on either team. McNeal has put together 226 yards in the last two losses to Navy and Houston.

This series has actually been pretty competitive, with the Mustangs covering five straight meetings. Each of those games has been decided by ten points or less. Only Ohio State and Iowa have more interceptions as a team than SMU’s thirteen. Tulsa’s offense also is more manageable for opponents now that Guz Malzahn, the highly-respected offensive coordinator, took off for Auburn. We’ll grab the points with June Jones’ SMU club, the 16.5-point underdog in the BetUS college football betting odds.

OUR PLAY: SMU +16.5 **

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By Cappers Picks

Articles on CappersPicks.com are written by Q (the Head Honcho) at Cappers Picks or by our resident "in house" handicapper Razor Ray Monohan! Enjoy the free picks folks! "Pad that bankroll one day at a time!"