NCAA Betting Odds – Wake Forest (-4.5) vs. Duke
Saturday, November 28 – Noon ET
BetUS NCAA Football Odds: WAKE FOREST -4.5
Last year’s game was a barn burner, as Wake Forest prevailed by a 33-30 count in overtime. Four Duke turnovers did not help their cause, but this year the Blue Devils come back and they are improved. They can’t go to a bowl, because of too many games against FCS teams, but they can get to the .500 mark with a win here.
Here are some of the NCAA college football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:
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WAKE has lost its last five games SU
WAKE is 1-5-1 ATS in its last seven road games
WAKE has lost its last five road games SU
WAKE has played seven of its last eight road games UNDER the total
DUKE has lost 11 of its last 16 games SU
DUKE has played four of its last five games UNDER the total
DUKE has lost 20 of its last 25 home games SU
Also….
DUKE has covered four of the last five meetings
WAKE has won the last nine meetings SU
WAKE has won five of the last six meetings SU as the road team 
One can certainly see progress being made on the part of Duke quarterback Thaddeus Lewis. Last season Lewis threw for 2171 yards and 15 TD’s. This season he has reached 2943 yards with 17 TD throws. His coach, David Cutcliffe, is known for his work with quarterbacks like Peyton Manning. He better be, because Duke can’t run the ball; they rank 120th in rushing, averaging 63 yards a game.
Wake Forest has been known for its resourcefulness under coach Jim Grobe, forcing turnovers and coming up with very consistent play in the kicking game. However, this season they have just 14 takeaways with a turnover ratio of minus-5 and they rank outside the Top 70 in punting, punt returns and kickoff returns. Riley Skinner, the outgoing senior quarterback, can produce (2788 yards, 21 TD’s), but he’s throwing it up there a lot, with 123 attempts in the last three games.
When you look at Wake Forest’s slate, they have indeed lost their last five games, but to comparatively good teams. They have dropped overtime decisions to Georgia Tech and Boston College, as well as three-point losses to Navy and Baylor and a one-point defeat to Miami. In other words, they could easily be 7-4 instead of 4-7.
Meanwhile, Duke, which has had to deal with a lot of injuries and looks like the team limping to the finish line, scoring just 32 points in the last four games and losing by an average of 23 points a game. Because they are one-dimensional, it offers an edge to a team with an extra week to prepare, and Wake fits that description. We’re moving with the Demon Deacons, the 4.5-point favorite.
OUR PLAY: WAKE FOREST -4.5 **
