NCAA Football Betting – Vanderbilt vs. Tennessee in Week 12
Vanderbilt Commodores (2-9 SU, 4-6 ATS) at
Tennessee Volunteers (5-5 SU, 6-4 ATS)
Saturday, November 21 – 7 PM ET
BetUS NCAA College Football Betting Odds: TENNESSEE -17, Total 45
Here are some of the NCAAF betting trends as they relate to this matchup:
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VAN has covered two of its last seven games
VAN has lost its last seven games SU
VAN has played six of its last seven games UNDER the total
VAN has covered four of its last road games
VAN has lost five of its last six road games SU
TENN has covered four of its last five games
TENN has played four of its last five games OVER the total
TENN has played 14 of its last 21 games UNDER the total
TENN has won four of its last five home games SU
TENN has played four of its last five home games OVER the total 
TENN has played 14 of its last 20 home games UNDER the total
Also….
TENN has won 13 of the last 14 meetings SU
TENN has won six of the last seven meetings SU as the home team
As it turns out, maybe the Tennessee Volunteers team was a little distracted last week after the arrest (and subsequent dismissal) of three of its players for attempting armed robbery. The Vols went to Oxford and got throttled by Ole Miss (42-17) as a 5.5-point favorite in the college football betting odds. The Volunteers held Jevan Snead in check, allowing just 133 yards passing, but they could not stop Dexter McClusker, who ran for 282 yards. Jonathan Crompton didn’t throw an interception, but he had only 176 yards on 37 throws, and Montario Hardesty did not produce any appreciable numbers.
Here’s the question – was that an aberration? Tennessee had not done badly in three of the four games prior to that, scoring 45 points against Georgia, 31 against South Carolina and 56 against Memphis. Lane Kiffin looked like he had this team headed in the right direction. Now that he has gotten rid of his three thugs, Kiffin can move on.
In examining whether the Volunteers can put some distance between themselves and this opponent, let’s consider if Vandy can out points on the board. Over its schedule, the Vanderbilt Commodores have scored more than 13 points in only three games – the opener against FCS entry Western Carolina, a game against Rice, and in a home game against Georgia Tech, where they scored 28 points and had a lead at the half. They’ve scored an average of just under eight points a game in conference play.
Larry Smith, who had been supplying inadequate quarterback play, was lost for the season with a hamstring injury and was replaced by MacKenzi Adams, who’s gone 24-for-53 the last two weeks. You’ve got to wonder how well he’ll be able to navigate Monte Kiffin’s different defensive looks. I’m doubting he will, simply because he and his offense haven’t been able to figure out less sophisticated schemes.
With Tennessee eligible for a bowl with a win, I wouldn’t expect anything less than a maximum effort. We’re laying the points with the Vols, the 17-point favorite in the BetUS NCAA college football betting odds.
OUR PLAY: TENNESSEE -17 ***
