Hawaii Bowl: Wolf Pack vs. Mustangs Predictions

2009 HAWAII BOWL – NEVADA WOLF PACK (8-4) vs. SMU MUSTANGS (7-5)

Event: Sheraton Hawaii Bowl
Date: Thursday, Dec. 24, 8:00 pm EST
Site: Honolulu, HI
MY Sportsbook.com LINE: Nevada -14.5

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Team records:
Southern Methodist: 7-5 SU, 6-5 ATS
Nevada: 8-4 SU, 6-6 ATS

Preview:

There will certainly be more suspense with you (or your child) opening your first present on Christmas Eve than there will be in the Sheraton Hawaii Bowl.

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Nevada flies the second-ranked offense in the FBS (including the top-ranked rush offense, with a stupefying 362 yards/game) over the Pacific to toy with Southern Methodist.

After a dismal 1-11 season in 2008, the Mustangs have had a good year under head coach June Jones, but they just aren’t ready to contain Nevada’s dominant run game and maybe the best offense in the WAC (the only exception being Boise State QB Kellen Moore’s aerial antics).

The ‘Stangs ought to enjoy some tropical weather, some beachy drinks and getting lei’d over the holiday season, but they’d really need some good fortune to come away from this game with a win.

Nevada has a record three players on the same offense to amass 1,000 yards rushing (QB Colin Kaepernick, RB Vai Taua and RB Luke Lippincott) and though they don’t have a wild passing attack, Kaepernick is an efficient passer. With SMU bringing the 92nd-ranked defense in the nation to the table, expect the Wolf Pack to light up the scoreboard early and often.

No one believes in SMU, maybe no one has believed in them all season, and hopefully the players are using that as fuel. But they’ll have to be stealing fluids from their Boeing 747 on the flight over to have a chance against Nevada in Honolulu on Christmas Eve.

Aloha. It means hello and goodbye.

2009 Team Stats

Total Offense: Nevada 2nd
SMU 61st

Total Defense: Nevada 88th
SMU 92nd

Trends:
Southern Methodist is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Southern Methodist is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Southern Methodist is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games
Nevada is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Nevada is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nevada’s last 7 games

Pick: Nevada -21

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James has been naming every player on the EA Sports NCAA video game rosters for half a decade now, he’s finally putting his knowledge to better use writing for us here at CappersPicks.com. As always you’re comments are welcome below…Give Us Your Take!