FRIDAY, MARCH 12, 2010 – Northwestern Wildcats vs (5) Purdue Boilermakers
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Northwestern @ Purdue
Records:
Northwestern: 20-12 SU, 17-10 ATS
Purdue: 26-4 SU, 12-17-1 ATS
Friday, March 12, 6:30 p.m. ET
Sportsbook favorite: Purdue -8
BIG TEN MEN’S TOURNAMENT – QTR FINALS – INDIANAPOLIS INDIANA
The big question on everyone’s mind in this Big Ten tournament is whether or not the No. 5 Purdue Boilermakers can repeat as champs without Robbie Hummel.
Their star forward was averaging 15.7 points and 6.9 rebounds per game this season before he tore his ACL on February 24. Can Purdue remain a force without Hummel, who was a big part of their success in last year’s Big Ten tourney?
To do so against Northwestern tonight, the supporting cast must be better. Hummel and fellow star E’Twaun Moore were dynamite the last time Purdue and Northwestern met but the rest of the Boilermakers shot a horrific 22.6 per cent as the Wildcats prevailed 72-64.
Even without Hummel, Purdue is probably the better team – after all, Hummel had missed multiple games with minor injuries throughout the season before he got seriously hurt and the Boilermakers were fine. But I think they’ll have a devil of a time covering the eight-point spread tonight. They’ve failed to cover in five straight games and haven’t beaten a spread since losing Hummel; sportsbooks haven’t adjusted to the injury.
Worse yet, Northwestern is 11-4 ATS over its last 15 battles with Purdue and the Wildcats looked great against an Indiana team that had a pseudo-home-court advantage with Conseco Fieldhouse hosting the tournament. I like them to beat the spread tonight.
Gambling Trends:
Illinois is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Wisconsin
Wisconsin is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wisconsin’s last 5 games when playing Illinois
Wisconsin is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Illinois
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Illinois’s last 5 games when playing Wisconsin
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Illinois’s last 7 games
Illinois is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Wisconsin’s last 21 games
Free Pick: Northwestern +8
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Shea Matthews lives and breathes sports. He made the transition from athlete to sports journalist at a young age, writing in TV & national newspapers. He now applies his knowledge to sports betting and handicapping every day, and shares his winning picks with the world.
