CappersPicks – College Basketball Weekend Preview
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Whats doing at the top?
(best matchup featuring a top 5 team)
Saturday January 30, 7:00 PM
Kansas vs. Kansas State
@K-State
Last game for Kansas: 84-65 victory vs. Missouri (ATS win -12)
Last Game for Kansas State: 76-74 victory at Baylor (ATS win +1.5)
Last Meeting: Kansas 85 – Kansas State 74
Line: Kansas -3
The Jayhawks seem to finally be hitting their stride but as Texas knows it is not easy to walk into the Little Apple and walk away with a victory. There is no doubt that Kansas has better depth but if the Wildcats can get a stellar game out of their backcourt this one will be interesting. Upfront is where the real mismatches are. Kansas is bigger, longer, better and deeper. Kansas State has a chance to disrupt the bracketologists with a victory but do they really have another performance like the one that beat the Longhorns in them. That is what everyone is going to tune in on Saturday night to find out.
The way Kansas has scuffled along it is surprising that they only have the one loss. I guess they really are that good. For some reason they have had trouble getting Cole Aldrich involved on a regular basis. He was a preseason All American but is currently just fourth on the team in scoring…but he seems to be coming around. Aldrich is surrounded by talent and will not have to shine for the Jayhawks to win but if he does K-State will have little chance. They were able to catch the Longhorns frontcourt on their worst day of the season. Sure their D had something to do with it but mostly the Longhorns looked tight. Kansas is led by another preseason All American in PG Sherron Collins and he is a huge difference maker. He has his best games when the rest of the team struggles and can keep them in it if need be.
K-State recovered nicely from a surprise loss at home against Oklahoma State by going on the road to beat a very good Baylor team. The Cowboys might have caught the Wildcats off guard emotionally coming off their big win but really it was a matter of Jacob Pullen being off to the tune of 2-14. He is their leading scorer and after his running mate Denis Clemente this team is only average by conference standards. Pullen recovered against Baylor and will need to be on for K-State to have a chance against KU. In their most recent loss to the Jayhawks last year Pullen and Clemente combined for 48 points but it wasn’t enough. If they top that Manhattan could be the hot spot for upsets this year.
Score Prediction:
Kansas – 77
Kansas State – 68
Pick: Its time that Kansas starts playing like one of the best teams in the country. A relatively easy win against a highly thought of team on the road. At -3 the Jayhawks are a strong play on Saturday night.
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Can’t Ignore
Saturday January 30, 1:00PM
Duke at Georgetown
@Georgetown
Last game for Duke: 70-56 win vs Florida State (ATS win -12.5)
Last game for Georgetown: 73-56 loss at Syracuse (ATS loss +5.5)
Line: Pick’em
Matchup History: Duke 76 – Georgetown 67 (ATS push -9 in 2009)
Absolutely loves these mid-season non-conference battles. This one is especially good with both teams in the top 15 and I think flying a bit below the radar. In the ACC the story has been how bad UNC is while in the Big East the improvement of the Hoyas has been pushed from the forefront by Syracuse’s unexpectedly great start. Whoever wins this one could well play themselves into a number one seed if they can follow through to the end of the year. I really believe that.
I have to admit that I don’t want to believe in Duke. But the numbers just don’t lie. They have only three losses, all on the road with two against top 25 teams. They have beaten UConn and Gonzaga easily out of conference and if they win this one will likely be favoured in every game for the rest of the year, including a trip to UNC (I know – shocking). One of the big reasons they are doing so well is the development of Nolan Smith. Singler and Scheyer have been good as expected but Smith has more than doubled his scoring which has been critical on a team that has almost no depth in the backcourt. After those three the production really drops off. It is not for lack of size though, the team rotates the Plumlee brother and Brian Zoubek, all of whom are over 6’10” which will be key against Greg Monroe.
The Hoyas may have lost a few bandwagoneers after their poor performance in the Carrier Dome. I think their performance was more that Syracuse is a really tough matchup for them and the Orange are really good at home. I still like the Hoyas a lot and I think they matchup well with the Blue Devils. This team may not be as talented as the Final Four sqaud from a couple of years ago but they are very tough and Monroe is more superlative than Jeff Green or Roy Hibbert. While not overly deep they can run a lot of very athletic players at Duke and should try and play at decent pace. They better have figured out how to play better offense against a zone which is a strategy that Duke is using more frequently this season. This team is not blessed with great shooters but challenges every shot which may knock the Dookies down a notch.
Score Prediction:
Georgetown – 69
Duke – 67
Pick: In a pick’em it is hard not to go with the home team. It also helps that they have the best player on the floor. You should grab this one quickly while the spread is in GT’s favour.
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