Orlando Magic vs Golden State Warriors Preview & Pick
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Orlando vs. Golden St.
Tonight, 10:30 p.m. ET
NBA betting favorite: Magic -4.5
Total: 207.5
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Having won five of seven, the Orlando Magic have settled back into the bottom of the NBA’s top tier of contenders. But, as its two recent losses to Portland to Chicago show – they scored 81 and 85 points in those defeats – Orlando still needs a secondary scoring option to back up Dwight Howard.
Jason Richardson has been the closest thing Howard can get to a partner in crime; he averages 14.1 points per game and has picked up his play of late. But how disappointing have Hedo Turkoglu and Gilbert Arenas been? 
They’ve gone from NBA starting-caliber guys to mere bit players this season. The Magic won’t make it far in playoffs unless someone steps up.
However, when the Magic face weaker defensive teams, it seems like Howard is all they need.
That could be the case tonight against the sieve-like Golden State defense, which ranks 27th in the Association with 105.6 points allowed per contest. The Warriors are falling out of the Western Conference playoff race, having lost seven of nine.
Golden State still doesn’t have any trouble putting points on the board; Monta Ellis, Stephen Curry, David Lee and Dorrell Wright have all been forces this season, with Curry and Wright dropping treys left and right. Odds are, they’ll find a way to score plenty at home tonight.
But I’m not convinced they’ll keep the Magic off the board. The Warriors are dead last in the NBA in defensive rebounding. That sounds like a recipe for Howard to eat them alive. The Magic have won five straight meetings with Golden State, scoring at least 109 points in every one of those wins. I’d expect something similar tonight at Golden State.
Trends:
Under is 12-3 in ORL last 15 overall.
Under is 21-7-1 in ORL last 29 Fri. games.
Under is 19-7-1 in ORL last 27 vs. NBA Pacific.
Under is 8-2 in GS last 10 vs. NBA Southeast.
Under is 7-2 in GS last 9 home games.
Under is 13-5 in GS last 18 overall.
Prediction: Magic 112, Warriors 105
