Heat vs Spurs NBA Final Picks
The Heat are in big trouble heading to San Antonio for game 5. Not only are they down 3-1 but they looked so bad on their home floor it is hard to imagine that they are going to be able to beat the Spurs three games in a row to claim a third straight championship.[ad-4468020]
Miami Heat (1-3) vs. San Antonio Spurs (3-1)
Sunday June 15
AT&T Center – San Antonio, TX
Moneyline: San Antonio -240, Miami +200
Spread: San Antonio -6
What was thought to be a “really nice” series only a few days ago has been turned on its ear. Now we are just wondering if the Heat can make it respectable.
It says something that even though this is a Finals rematch the buzz around Miami is whether they will make a play for Carmelo Anthony this offseason.
You can’t say the Big Three doesn’t work as this is their 4th Finals but as things have evolved the quality around them has gone down and it is noticeable when they are really pushed.
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It is possible the King can LeBron them to another victory but unless the team starts playing better around him the team is toast.
In their first trips to San Antonio the numbers were around +5 so it makes sense that it should have grown a little bit on this return trip.
The way I see this one I don’t think you can get behind the Heat unless you think they are going to win the game. If you believe that than the +6 is a nice, soft cushion.
The cool thing about San Antonio is how they can just throttle you without the aid of that one spectacular play.
They just pound you with fundamentals and I think that has a more wearing effect than if they were just out jumping you all the time. They are poised to win yet another championship and end this min run by the Heat – and I am happy on both accounts.
Though I will miss hoops I hope they get it done sooner than later.
The Spurs enjoyed anothef fantastic game from Kawhi Leonard. He led the team in points (20), rebounds (14) and even chipped in 3 blocked shots.
In G3 they inverted things a little bit with Boris Diaw leading the team with 9 assists from the center position. Patty Mills was the star off the bench in this one with 14 points in just 16 minutes.
Coach Popovich seems to be able to do no wrong at this point in the series.
When it is an elimination game there is obviously a desperation factor.
That can lead to improved play or raggedness. If Miami is more the latter the Spurs will make them pay. That is the outcome I think we will see. This one has the potential to be a blowout too, but only in favour of the Spurs.
The -6 is fair value.
Spread prediction: San Antonio -6
Total prediction: Over
Score prediction: San Antonio 105 – Miami 95