2011 Lenox Industrial Tools 301 – Predictions – Betting Preview + Picks + Odds
Preview: Loudon, New Hampshire, a flat 1.058-mile oval track, is a technical race track that many drivers consider challenging, as Denny Hamlin explained Friday:
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Race: Lenox Industrial Tools 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway (Loudon)
Date: Sunday, July 17, 2011
Time: 1:16 PM EST (scheduled green flag)
TV: 1:00 PM ET on TNT
“It’s so hard to race at this race track, especially side-by-side. The air gets taken off and things like that.
It’s a tough race track. Track position is really big here. It’s kind of a one-mile track, but it races like a short track.
You have to put in your Richmond setups and things like that and hope it all works out. It’s very tough to avoid trouble, especially on restarts here, because everyone fights to get to the bottom.”
Late-race strategy regarding tires and fuel will likely have a big role in the outcome Sunday.
Safe Bet: (odds of less than 10/1)
• Denny Hamlin (5/1): Hamlin has one win at Loudon (July ’07) and the best average finish among active drivers, along with two second-place finishes. Denny’s only victory so far this year came at Michigan a few weeks ago; currently 10th in points, another race win would go a long way toward securing his spot as a Chase contender.
Denny roles off the grid 14th on Sunday.
Mid Range: (odds between 10/1 – 20/1)
• Kurt Busch (10/1): Busch has three wins in 20 Loudon starts and has notched five top-10s here in the last six races. Kurt qualified 4th for Sunday’s race, just ahead of teammate Brad Keselowski in 5th.
Both Penske Dodge cars have been gaining momentum the past few weeks.
Long Shot: (odds greater than 20/1)
• Ryan Newman (40/1): Newman’s last race win came at Phoenix in the spring of 2010, a track that some drivers liken to Loudon. He’s won twice in N.H. (’02, ’07), though both wins were in a Dodge and he’s now piloting a Chevy.
Ryan starts from the pole Sunday at a track where position is key. Like Hamlin, Newman’s spot in the standings is tenuous – he’s currently ninth, but without a victory this season.
As noted, Ryan Newman qualified on the pole – he’s starting alongside Stewart-Haas Racing teammate and car owner Tony Stewart in P2. [ad-8757089]
The highest-qualifying Ford driver was Carl Edwards, who starts 15th. Several Loudon races have been won from the pole, including one by Newman.
Check out Happy Hour speeds Saturday to see how teams are looking in race trim, especially on longer practice runs.
NASCAR – Lenox Industrial Tools 301 Odds To Win
Stewart, Tony 5-1
Busch, Kurt 7-1
Gordon, Jeff 8-1
Hamlin, Denny 8-1
Harvick, Kevin 10-1
Busch, Kyle 10-1
Johnson, Jimmie 12-1
Edwards, Carl 12-1
Newman, Ryan 12-1
Bowyer, Clint 15-1
Montoya, Juan 20-1
Burton, Jeff 20-1
Keselowski, Brad 25-1
Kahne, Kasey 30-1
Biffle, Greg 30-1
Earnhardt Jr., Dale 30-1
Reutimann, David 40-1
Lagano, Joey 40-1
Martin, Mark 40-1
Kenseth, Matt 50-1
Menard, Paul 60-1
Ragan, David 75-1
McMurray, Jamie 75-1
Vickers, Brian 100-1
Smith, Regan 100-1
Allmendinger, A.J. 100-1
Ambrose, Marcos 200-1
Labonte, Bobby 500-1
Against the Field (any other driver) 300-1