2010 Tums Fast Relief 500 Predictions – Betting Preview + Picks + Odds
Preview: It’s hard to imagine a surprise winner for this Sunday’s race, since the past eight Martinsville races dating back to October of 2006 have been won by just two drivers: Jimmie Johnson and Denny Hamlin. Johnson won five of those races, while Hamlin won three, though Johnson has six wins here in total.
Race: Tums Fast Relief 500 – Martinsville Speedway
Date: Sunday, October 24, 2010
Time: 1:13 PM EST (scheduled Green Flag)
TV: 1:00 PM EST on ESPN
Jeff Gordon leads all active drivers in Martinsville wins with seven, but his last was in 2005. Mark Martin and Tony Stewart have two wins a piece, while Jeff Burton and Kurt Busch each have one. Hamlin served notice in qualifying Friday, putting the No. 11 car on the pole, while Johnson starts back in 19th.
Safe Bets:
1. Jimmie Johnson (9/5): As noted above, Johnson has won five of the last eight Martinsville races (both spring and fall dates), including three straight in ’06-’07. He has the best average finish at 5.4 and has only finished outside the top-10 once in 17 Martinsville starts. Johnson finished second here last fall after leading 164 laps. 
2. Denny Hamlin (5/2): Jimmie Johnson may have led 164 laps here last fall, but Hamlin led 206 and took the checkered flag. His average finish is second to Johnson’s at 6.6 and, like Johnson, he’s only finished outside the top-10 once in his Cup career here. Hamlin has scored the most points at Martinsville over the last five races including bonus points, even more than Johnson.
Dark Horse:
1. Greg Biffle (30/1): Although he’s only had two top-10 finishes at Martinsville in his Cup career, one of those was this past spring when he finished 10th. The Biff was impressive in practice Friday, running fourth on the speed chart and tenth in the category of ‘fastest 10-lap average speed.’ He followed that up in qualifying by putting the No. 16 car on the inside of row 2.
Summary: With only 41 points separating Johnson in first from Hamlin in second in the championship points, the two at battling not only for the win at Martinsville, but for the impact this race will have on their title hopes as well.
Odds to Win the Tums Fast Relief 500
Sun, Oct 24th (1:00pm EST) at Martinsville Speedway
Denny Hamlin +125
Jimmie Johnson +450
Jeff Gordon +900
Tony Stewart +1000
Juan Pablo Montoya +1600
Kyle Busch +1600
Kevin Harvick +2200
Ryan Newman +2500
Jeff Burton +2500
Greg Biffle +2500
Jamie McMurray +2500
Clint Bowyer +2500
Carl Edwards +3000
Kurt Busch +4000
Marcos Ambrose +4000
Joey Logano +4000
Matt Kenseth +5000
David Reutimann +5000
Dale Earnhardt Jr. +5000
Mark Martin +5000
Martin Truex Jr. +5000
David Ragan +8000
Kasey Kahne +8000
A.J. Allmendinger +8000
Paul Menard +12500
Brad Keselowski +15000
Aric Almirola +25000
Elliott Sadler +25000
Sam Hornish Jr. +30000
Regan Smith +50000
Casey Mears +75000
Travis Kvapil +100000
Tony Raines +100000
Joe Nemechek +100000
Hermie Sadler +100000
David Gilliland +100000
Dave Blaney +100000
J.J. Yeley +100000
Bobby Labonte +100000
Landon Cassill +100000
Ken Schrader +100000
Kevin Conway +150000
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Becca Gladden is a freelance writer and race handicapper specializing in NASCAR.
