Friday MLB Betting – Yankees vs Mariners Preview & Pick
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Date: May 27, 2011
Venue: Safeco Field, Seattle, WA
Broadcast: YES, ROOT
New York Yankees at Seattle Mariners Betting Lines from BetOnline.com
Money Line: Seattle -116
Over/Under: 7 (-130)
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New York Yankees (27-21)
A.J. Burnett (5-3, 4.02)
The Toronto Blue Jays were a streaking baseball team when they ran into the Yankees earlier this week – and the Bronx Bombers quickly put that hot streak to bed, winning two of three games thanks to some late heroics. On Friday, they’ll try to cool off another hot team when they visit Seattle.
A.J. Burnett hasn’t been as bad as last year; this season, he’s back to his talented yet erratic self, mixing in good efforts with bad ones, walking plenty of hitters and allowing his share of homers. He hasn’t been as good on the road, going winless in three starts and allowing four homers in 18 innings.
Seattle Mariners (24-25)
Michael Pineda (6-2, 2.16)
As much as Zach Britton and Alexi Ogando have made headlines as superb rookie pitchers in the American League this season, Michael Pineda has arguably been better than both of them. The rookie has pitched like a veteran; he has 61 strikeouts in 58.1 innings but has also walked just 14 batters and allowed just three homers. Those stat rates reflect a veteran ace.
That said, it’s worth noting that Pineda has faced some weak lineups, including the Jays, Royals, Athletics, Orioles, Twins and Padres. Texas is the team that most closely resembles the Yankees in terms of its power prowess – and it’s the only team to remotely touch up Pineda. He’s 0-2 with a 4.85 ERA over two starts against them this season.
MLB Trends:
NYY are 3-13 in Burnetts last 16 road starts.
Over is 8-3-2 in Burnetts last 13 starts overall.
NYY are 10-21 in Burnetts last 31 starts on grass.
SEA are 7-1 in their last 8 overall.
SEA are 7-1 in their last 8 games on grass.
Under is 6-1-1 in SEA last 8 home games.
NYY are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
The pick:
Pineda is the real deal; he had the pedigree of a top prospect all along, so we shouldn’t be surprised to see him flourishing. However, he has to hit a wall at some point. Texas hinted that a potent offensive club can solve Pineda. The Yankee hitters will wait for their pitch against him. Even though the Mariners have won seven of eight, they’ve done it more with their arms than their bats.
Burnett can handle a lineup batting .232 on the season.
Yankees vs Mariners prediction: Yankees 5, Mariners 3
