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NCAA Over/Under Wins Predictions | Handicapping College Team Totals

Shea Matthews our Senior sports writer at CappersPicks.com weighs in with his win total projections for 2011’s top ncaa football teams. We love betting on over/under season win totals don’t you?…

NCAA Football Betting – Regular Season Win Totals

Betting on College football regular season win totals is one of my favorite things to do in football gambling. It essentially challenges you to predict whether a team goes boom or bust over the course of a season.

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Here are 10 to try for the NCAA in 2011.

Arkansas UNDER 8.5 wins

No Ryan Mallett and a diminished O-line will make wins tougher to come by in Arkansas this year. To me, the Razorbacks’ trips to Alabama and LSU plus their home games against Texas A&M and South Carolina look like four losses and fewer than nine wins already.

2011 NCAA Over/Under Wins Football Predictions

Auburn UNDER 6.5 wins

We assume the Tigers will win their non-conference games but do we know so? The defending national champs’ roster has been totally gutted. And life in the SEC could be miserable, including trips to South Carolina, LSU and Georgia and home games against Florida and Alabama.

I wouldn’t be surprised if Auburn totally tanked this season.

Boise State OVER 10.5 wins

The Broncos still have that powerhouse defense and Heisman Trophy hopeful Kellen Moore leading a potent offense. With Utah and BYU vacating the Mountain West just as Boise State arrived, I’m not even convinced the Broncos will have a tougher challenge this season. They could easily go undefeated again and get no BCS respect again.

Their Week-1 trip to Georgia could be their toughest game to win.

Georgia OVER 9 wins

I’ll admit that this is risky. But everyone is high on rising star quarterback Aaron Murray. The Bulldogs play in the SEC but dodge Alabama and LSU on the schedule this season. That means, in my mind, they skip the two toughest teams in the conference.

To me, Georgia could start 0-2 against Boise State and South Carolina but run the table the rest of the way.

LSU OVER 9.5 wins

Can LSU go 10-2? I think so. At least the Tigers get Oregon at home. The Alabama game in November admittedly makes me nervous. But, again, they could drop both of those games and still win every other. I’m curious to see if LSU gets more out of enigmatic quarterback Jordan Jefferson this season. If it can, the sky’s the limit for this team.

Mississippi State OVER 7.5 wins

With its potent offense, I think Mississippi State can overcome the losses to their linebacker core on “D” and go 9-3 this season. The only problems I foresee are the trip to Georgia and home games against South Carolina and Alabama. [soliloquy id=”82219″]

Even if the Bulldogs lose at Auburn in September, that still puts them on track to go 8-4 in my mind.

Oklahoma OVER 10 wins

I straight-up think Oklahoma is the best team in the country, as many of us do, so I think it can go undefeated. Sure, if has tough competition. But I see Oklahoma splitting its trip to Florida State and home game against Texas A&M 1-1 at worst, which would put the Sooners in line for 11 victories.

Oregon OVER 10 wins

The core that reached the national title game returns. LaMichael James terrorized opposing defenses last season; I don’t see why he can’t do so again. Argh, I know the schedule is deadly with trips to LSU and Stanford.

But I’ll call Oregon to at least outgun Andrew Luck and beat Stanford’s defense.

Stanford OVER 9 wins

I have to think Andrew Luck will crusade to the Heisman and No. 1 overall NFL draft status next season. To do so, he’ll have to keep Stanford as competitive as it was last year. I don’t see many threats to a 10-2 season on the Cardinal’s schedule. The only really dangerous team they face on the road in my mind is USC.

They could lose that game and fall to Oregon at home and still win 10 games.

Wisconsin OVER 9.5 wins

I’m bullish on Wisconsin this season. Love their running game and I think Russell Wilson will handle the quarterback job better than many people expect.

The Badgers’ schedule doesn’t scare me at all. Nebraska could cause trouble but Wisconsin gets that game at home; Ohio State should take a step back this season with no more Terrelle Pryor and no more Jim Tressel, so the Buckeyes aren’t a sure bet to beat Wisconsin on October 29 either.

I think the Badgers can go 10-2 if not better than that.

By Shea Matthews

Shea Matthews the Senior Writer at CP. Lives and breathes sports. He made the transition from athlete to sports journalist at a young age, writing in TV & national papers. Shea applies his knowledge to sports betting + handicapping daily, and shares winning picks with the world.