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What a great run we have enjoyed in football overall. NFL plays are now on a 5-2 ATS run with 10* releases, 2-1 ATS with 15* releases and won the 25* AFC Titan Game of the Year on the Jets in a game we stated that the Jets had an excellent shot at winning outright.
The Big 12 has more than just Texas and Kansas this year. There are 8 teams in this conference that have 5 losses or less, 2 of them have only 1 loss, and 3 teams are ranked in the Top 10. As a matter of fact, the home teams combined headed into last weekend from the Big 12 were 104-4 SU at home.
It’s Championship Week in the NFL and with it two teams are one win away from playing in Miami for Super Bowl XLIV. Like most football fans nationwide, everyone has an opinion on which those two teams will be. Our database does, too.
There are generally two schools of thought when it comes to handicapping the final four teams on this week’s card. You can look at them statistically, or you can analyze them technically.
I’m a fan of the NBA, but it’s not a sport that I follow as closely as others, and I don’t handicap it very often. When there are sports that I’m not avidly following I find that I like to have little rules in my mind that I can use to quickly get a sense of how a team is performing – a snapshot of where they are at.
Syracuse Orange (5) at West Virginia Mountaineers (9) 12:00 PM ET
Easily the marquee matchup of the day, we get started early with a great matchup. Syracuse is 16-1 on the season including a perfect 5-0 away from home. It has played only two true road games on the season however and those came at Seton Hall and Rutgers so this will easily be the biggest road test thus far and mark the first road game against a ranked opponent.
As the playoffs begin, those who earned the top two seeds in each conference have a key edge, as they get a bye the first week while watching the others duke it out. Sitting at home this past weekend were the Saints, Vikings, Colts and Chargers. A year ago the favorites to win the 2010 Super Bowl were the Patriots at 6-to-1, the Steelers at 7-to-1, the Colts at 8-to-1 and the NY Giants at 8-to-1.
TOP TEN WAYS TO LOSE BETTING SPORTS
Sports bettors don’t go broke because they can’t pick winners, and they don’t go broke because of vigorish… they go broke because they use bad money management.
Enjoy exciting up tempo basketball? If so, mid major college basketball is probably not the place for you.
Poor fundamentals and lack of talent, rather than good defense, have contributed to several mid major teams hitting the under on a consistent basis.
We are well into college basketball conference play now, so teams have played more than enough games for us to get a sense of what they really are and how we should be dealing with them. Here’s a look at 10 teams that have proven themselves trustworthy on totals so far this year – the ones that most consistently stay ‘under’ or go ‘over’. (‘over/under’ record follows name)
(13) Connecticut Huskies at (12) Georgetown Hoyas 12:00 PM ET (ESPN)
Connecticut is 11-3 on the season and all three of those losses have come against teams that are ranked or were ranked at one time. The Huskies lost on a neutral floor against Duke, a neutral floor against Kentucky and at Cincinnati, who is no longer ranked. The game against the Bearcats has been the only true road game this season for Connecticut and it is coming off back-to-back home conference wins over Notre Dame and Seton Hall.
Texas will win if …
Colt McCoy has a great game. He will have to be flawless out of the spread against the Tide D. If he is not then this could be a game like Nebraska where the offense struggles.
The Betting Numbers
This line has done very little. The Ducks opened most places as a -3.5-point favorite and that is the current number at most shops a week prior to the game. The juice opened -110 and fell to as much as +100 but failed to cross over enough to change the number. The total has gone down to 50.5 from its opening of 51.5.
We first want to update the last two week’s college bowl systems because the games were still pending at press time. We gave you SMU plus the 11 points over Nevada and the Mustangs did not need the points as they won straight up 45 to 10. Last week our system called for a play ON the Georgia Bulldogs minus the 6.5 points over Texas A&M and they won the game 44 to 20.
As 2009 draws to a close, we find ourselves smack in the middle of the bowls. You shouldn’t be bowled-out, either, as they build to the crescendo that is the Texas/Alabama showdown for the national title.
Here is some basic info for the College Football Bowl Season. One of the best practices in sports betting is to simply take quality teams when they are underdogs, as they not only have a chance to win the game outright, but they can also stay within the point spread if their efforts come up a bit short.
This week’s college football system may seem odd in that we are playing on a team that has not done well against the spread during the regular season. In fact this plays right into our hands as the odds-makers do not give our play on team enough credit which in turn gives us solid line value in this particular situation.
