Green Bay Packers
Green Bay defied the odds last season and snuck into the playoffs even though QB Aaron Rodgers missed a good chunk of the season.
The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.
Green Bay defied the odds last season and snuck into the playoffs even though QB Aaron Rodgers missed a good chunk of the season.
Chicago had another disappointing season last year. When Aaron Rodgers got hurt they could have burst to the head of the division but again the second half proved to be more treacherous than expected.
Oakland has played the last 10 games against teams from the state of Texas and the result have not been good.
The Hawks had Indiana on the ropes but couldn’t seal the deal in G4 letting a halftime lead disappear in the second half.
The Bulls were in desperation mode heading into G3 and they came away with a close victory on the road.
After a promising performance in game 2 the Pacers were disappointing again on Thursday night losing game three and falling behind in the series, again.
The Rangers just swept Oakland and thus will be heading into Seattle in first place in the AL West with an AL leading 14 victories. Texas is red hot right now having won 8 of 9 starting with the final three of their last set with the Mariners.
Texas Rangers (14-8) vs. Seattle Mariners (8-13)
Friday April 25
Safeco Field – Seattle, WA
10:10PM
Probable Pitchers
TEX: Robbie Ross (L)
SEA: Roenis Elias (L)
Moneyline: Seattle -106, Texas -102
Total: 7.5
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Other than Martin Perez’ current scoreless streak nothing is really standing out with the Rangers right now other than they are doing it without a number of key contributors. Jurickson Profar and Adrian Beltre are on the DL and Shin-Soo Choo is questionable for Friday.
Texas has been getting very good starting pitching and that includes the starts from Robbie Ross, who doesn’t look like he will be returning to the pen anytime soon.
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Ross has a 2.31 ERA in the young season and a big reason are the 7 shutout innings he threw against the Mariners in his lone win on the season.
Only once in 4 starts has he given up more than 2ER and this time will take on Seattle in pitcher friendly Safeco.
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While Texas has been soaring the Mariners have been sinking.
They had lost 8 games in a row before ending their slide with a series closing win against Houston. If they had lost that one it would have been the Mariners not the Astros in last place. However, it is still relatively early and thankfully for Seattle their pitching has been solid.
It is the offense that is the problem. Robinson Cano is hitting below expectations at .280 and others are well off what you would expected. Kyle Seager is batting .179, ouch.
Rookie Roenis Elias has been better than expected this season.
He is giving up a few too many walks but is keeping the balling in the park and not giving up a ton of hits. His lone win on the season was against the Rangers in a game in which he gave up just one run over 6 innings.
It was the deepest he has gone in any start this season – he needs to start giving them some more innings or else they are going to burn out their bullpen.
Both of these starters have had success against their opponents recently. Since we are still writing the book on both I think we can expect a low scoring game. I see no reason to back the home side and given the way both teams are playing the value on Texas is better than expected.
It is the smart play.
Total prediction: Under
Score prediction: Texas 4 – Seattle 3
The team that nobody wanted to face is in deep trouble as this series moves to Washington. After dropping the first two at home it is difficult to imagine that this spirited but flawed team is about to go on a series changing run.
Philly saw their three game winning streak snapped against LA on Wednesday night, dropping them below .500 on the season.
The Pacers started the series in frightful fashion dropping the opener at home but they came back nicely to win game 2 and even the series.
The Yankees took three of four against Boston last weekend at home and jumped all over them in game one of their set at Fenway.
You have to have a short memory with this stuff but I feel good seeing as I saw the Wizards game one victory coming. It is hard to pinpoint what has changed other than experience but this Washington proved throughout the season and through one playoff game that the know how to win on the road.
In game 1 the score was tied at halftime but then the Hawks exploded in the third quarter, outscoring the Pacers by 14.
This is a big early series between Texas and Oakland the Rangers struck first with a victory Monday night. Yu Darvish was not as dominant as he has been to start the season but he kept the team in it and let a bullpen that gave up only one his over the final three innings win it.
Cincinnati comes into this series with some momentum having taken two of three in Chicago and two of three the previous series against the Pirates.
The Steelers got off to a dreadful start last season, looking very old in the process. In the second half something clicked as they went 6-2 but they are still lacking in a lot of key areas – they could probably go best available the whole draft and it wouldn’t be a bad strategy.