NFL Preview & Predictions – Week 16
Last week 10 home teams won straight-up but only seven won against the spread. For the 11th time in 15 weeks the total bet favored the ‘over’ with 10 games scoring more points than the total line, five scoring less, and there was one ‘push’. A few dogs had their day in Week 15 as seven teams getting points covered the spread with five teams winning their game outright.
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Here is a brief preview and pick for all the games in Week 15. All lines are provided by Bookmaker.com
Thursday, Dec. 23
8:20 P.M. Carolina at Pittsburgh (-14 ½)
Over/Under: 37
The Panthers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog and 2-6 ATS in their last eight overall. The Steelers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games after an ATS loss. The Pick: Pittsburgh -14 ½ and OVER
Saturday, Dec. 25
7:30 P.M. Dallas (-6 ½) at Arizona
Over/Under: 45
The Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against the NFC and 5-1 ATS in their last six overall. The Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against the NFC and 1-5 ATS in their last six overall. The total has stayed ‘under’ in five of the last seven meetings. The Pick: Dallas -6 ½ and UNDER
Sunday, Dec. 26
1:00 P.M. Baltimore (-3 ½) at Cleveland
Over/Under: 39
The Ravens are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against the Browns and 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games on the road. The Browns are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as an underdog. The total has stayed ‘under’ in four of the last six meetings in Cleveland. The Pick: Baltimore -3 ½ and UNDER
N.Y. Jets at Chicago (-1)
Over/Under: 35 ½
The Jets are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games on the road and 7-0 ATS in their last seven games on grass. The Bears are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games in December. The Pick: New York +1 and OVER
New England (-8) at Buffalo
Over/Under: 44 ½
The Patriots are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against the Bills and 6-0 ATS in their last six games in Buffalo. The total has stayed ‘under’ in nine of the last 12 games in Buffalo and in 17 of the last 23 meetings overall. The Pick: New England -8 and UNDER
San Francisco at St. Louis (-2 ½)
Over/Under: 39 ½
The 49ers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games against the Rams and 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven games in St. Louis. The total has stayed ‘under’ in seven of the last nine meetings. The Pick: San Francisco +2 ½ and UNDER.
Detroit at Miami (-3 ½)
Over/Under: 41 ½
The Lions are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS win and the total has gone ‘over’ in eight of Detroit’s last 11 games overall. The Dolphins are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a SU loss. The Pick: Detroit +3 ½ and OVER
Washington at Jacksonville (-6 ½)
Over/Under: 45
The Redskins are 6-2-1 in their last nine games as a road underdog. The Jaguars are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as a home favorite. The total has gone ‘over’ in seven of Jacksonville’s last eight games overall. The Pick: Jacksonville -6 ½ and OVER
Tennessee at Kansas City (-5)
Over/Under: 41 ½
The Titans are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games against the AFC and 2-5 ATS in their last seven overall. The Chiefs are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite. The total has gone ‘over’ in four of the last five meetings. The Pick: Tennessee +5 and OVER 
4:05 P.M. Indianapolis (-3) at Oakland
Over/Under: 47
The Colts are 13-5-2 ATS in their last 20 games on the road. The Raiders are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 overall. The total has gone ‘over’ in five of Oakland’s last six home games. The Pick: Indianapolis and OVER
Houston (-3) at Denver
Over/Under: 48
The Texans are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against the AFC and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 overall. The Broncos are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Pick: Denver +3 and OVER
Seattle at Tampa Bay (-6)
Over/Under: 43
The Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against the Buccaneers and 4-0 ATS in their last four games in Tampa Bay. The road team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings and the total has stayed ‘under’ in the last seven meetings. The Pick: Seattle +6 and UNDER
San Diego (-7 ½) at Cincinnati
Over/Under: 44
The Chargers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as the favorite and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. The Bengals are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog. The total has gone ‘over’ in six of the last eight meetings. The Pick: San Diego -7 ½ and OVER
N.Y. Giants at Green Bay (-2)
Over/Under: OFF
The Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a SU loss. The Packers are 9-3 in their last 12 games following a SU loss. The total has gone ‘over’ in three of the last five meetings. The Pick: New York +2 and OVER
8:20 P.M. Minnesota at Philadelphia OFF
Over/Under: OFF
The Vikings are 0-5 ATS in their last five games against Philadelphia. The Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against the NFC and the total has gone ‘over’ in six of their last seven games against the NFC. The Pick: Philadelphia and OVER
Monday, Dec. 27 8:30 P.M.
New Orleans at Atlanta (-2 ½)
Over/Under: 48 ½
The Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against Atlanta. The Falcons are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against the NFC South. The total has gone ‘over’ in five of the last six meetings.
The Pick: Atlanta -2 ½ and OVER
