PGA Betting – Sony Open Preview & Pick
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The Hyundai Tournament of Champions got us warmed up and we almost struck gold with Graeme McDowell, who sizzled on Sunday and finished just out of the playoff. Let’s try again at the Sony Open, the first full-field event of 2011.
Accuracy and ball-striking will be important at Waialae this week, as the winds will be a-gustin’, the fairways were the Tour’s toughest to hit last year and the greens will be wet.
THIS WEEK’S PGA BETTING
Date: Thursday Jan 13 – Sunday Jan 16, 2011
Event: Sony Open in Hawaii
Course: Waialae CC, Honolulu, Hawaii
Purse: $5.5 million
Defending Champ: Ryan Palmer
Winning Share: $990,000
FedEX Cup Points Up For Grabs: 500
THE ELITE
Steve Stricker
Sony Open odds: +815
Stricker is certainly hot enough, having shared the lead last week after 54 holes. He also has three top-four finishes in his last four tries at Waialae. His efficient, accurate approach and putting skills make him perfectly suited to the course.
Jim Furyk
Sony Open odds: +915
Last year’s FedEx Cup winner opened 2011 strongly with a ninth-place finish last week. Furyk won the Sony Open in 1996 and has five top-10 finishes. There’s really no strike against him here unless you worry that it’s only downhill after last season.
THE CONTENDERS
Ernie Els
Sony Open odds: +1015
Els makes for a sneakier play than the top two names on this list. Not only does he offer slightly better sportsbook value, the Big Easy has won the Sony Open twice (2003, 2004) and has five top-10 finishes there. Els was 17th last week at the Hyundai but won his previous tournament. Is he about to cool off or about to start one of his runs?
Matt Kuchar
Sony Open odds: +1615
Kuchar fits the bill of Waialae contender because of his superb ball striking. He was fantastic in 2010 and picked up where he left off last week, posting three of four rounds in the 60s en route to an 18-under, sixth-place finish. However, he’s missed two straight cuts at the Sony Open. What if it’s just not his track?
SOLID PICKS
Charles Howell III
Sony Open odds: +2050
He’s perhaps the most “due” of anyone in the field this week. Howell has five top-five finishes at the Stony and is fifth all-time in money won there. He has to win one eventually, right?
Robert Allenby
Sony Open odds: +2550
He has three top-10 finishes in his last five tries at Waialae and finished second last year. Also, Allenby stayed busy during the silly season. Does that mean he’ll be in midseason form? Or will he be tired? 
Zach Johnson
Sony Open odds: +3050
Johnson pinpoint accuracy makes him someone to consider at the Sony. He won the event in 2009 and was 12th last year. However, his 23rd-place finish at the Hyundai last week was ho-hum and he’s battling a toe injury.
THE SLEEPER
Camilo Villegas
Sony Open odds: +4050
Villegas hasn’t played the Sony Open since 2006 but he’s no stranger to playing well early in seasons. Also, he may come out extra focused after a rule violation left him disqualified last week.
THE PICK
Steve Stricker will be a no-brainer to some; I definitely expect nothing less than a top-10 effort from him. You can make a decent case for the on-the-cusp Howell as well. But my gut tells me it’s Els’ week. He has a great track record at the Sony and his victory two events ago shows he’s already polished his swing early in the season.
Sony Open pick: Ernie Els +1015
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2011 Sony Open Updated Betting Odds
Kevin Na 50-1
Marc Leishman 60-1
Matt Jones 100-1
Matt Kuchar 15-1
Michael Sim 80-1
Pat Perez 50-1
Ricky Barnes 80-1
Robert Allenby 20-1
Robert Garrigus 60-1
Rory Sabbatini 40-1
Ryan Palmer 50-1
Ryuji Imada 80-1
Spencer Levin 60-1
Steve Marino 40-1
Steve Stricker 8-1
Stuart Appleby 80-1
Tim Clark 30-1
Vijay Singh 60-1
Wen-Chong Liang 100-1
Zach Johnson 30-1
zx Field (Any Other Golfers) 4-1
Camilo Villegas 40-1
Carl Pettersson 40-1
Chad Campbell 50-1
Charles Howell III 20-1
Charlie Wi 100-1
DJ Trahan 80-1
David Duval 150-1
Davis Love III 60-1
Ernie Els 12-1
Heath Slocum 60-1
Jamie Lovemark 100-1
Jason Day 30-1
Jeff Overton 50-1
Jerry Kelly 50-1
Jim Furyk 12-1
John Daly 300-1
John Senden 50-1
Jonathan Byrd 30-1
Justin Leonard 60-1
Justin Rose 30-1
KJ Choi 25-1
Aaron Baddeley 100-1
Adam Scott 25-1
Anthony Kim 40-1
Arjun Atwal 80-1
Bo Van Pelt 50-1
Boo Weekley 100-1
Brendon de Jonge 80-1
Brian Gay 60-1
