Patriots D look to shut down Air Assault from Favre, Jets
The New England Patriots (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS), who are kind of disheartened that they have to go forward with a new quarterback, will travel to the New York metropolitan area on Sunday as they take on the New York Jets (1-0 SU & ATS), who are tickled to death about their new QB, in an NFL contest that is scheduled to kick off at 4:15 PM ET at Giants Stadium (artificial turf) in East Rutherford, NJ.
Sunday, September 14
BetUS NFL betting odds: JETS -1.5, Total 37
NOTABLE STAT: Jets gave up just 49 rushing yards against Miami in Week 1
KEY NFL FOOTBALL BETTING TREND: Pats have won 11 of their last 12 road games
In the BetUS NFL football betting odds, the Jets are listed as a 1.5-point favorite, with a posted total of 37 points.
Here are some NFL football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:
* NE is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games
* NE has played seven of its last eight games UNDER the total
* NE has won 19 of its last 20 games SU
* NE has covered 13 of its last 18 road games
* NE has won 11 of its last 12 road games SU
* NE has played five of its last six road games OVER the total
* NY has covered four of its last six games
* NY has lost 13 of its last 18 games SU
* NY has played its last five games UNDER the total
* NY is 2-5-1 ATS in its last eight home games
* NY has lost four of its last six home games SU
* NY has played five of its last six home games UNDER the total
Also…
* NE has covered six of the last eight meetings
* NE has won 10 of the last 11 meetings SU
* Four of the last six meetings have gone OVER the total
* NE has won and covered the last five meetings as the road team
* Four of the last six meetings in East Rutherford have gone OVER the total
The Jets look like they’re happy and playing with confidence behind Brett Favre, but a little perspective might be in order here. One of Favre’s touchdown passes against the Dolphins was a real floater, a mini-Hail Mary if you will, that was completed in a desperate fourth-down situation because the Jets had an injured kicker. Miami had a chance to win the game in the closing seconds, and may have done so had Chad Pennington not thrown one ill-advised pass.
New England has failed to cover in its last seven attempts, but all of those were as a favorite. Here, they are the underdog, a reaction to the injury that knocked out Tom Brady for the year. Is it an over-reaction?
Well, the Pats have been one of the NFL’s best road teams, winning eleven of their last 12. They have covered 13 of the last 18 as the visitor. Matt Cassel, who has been installed as the starting quarterback, has three full years in this system, and was good enough to be drafted despite being strictly a backup to Matt Leinart and Carson Palmer at USC. Cassel has a full week of practice getting snaps with the first team. New England has won ten of the last eleven times out against this opponent, and you know that when the rest of the league smells blood, the last team they want to under-achieve against is the hated Jets.
When you go 16-0 in a season, you have a lot of things that work, not just the quarterback position. And you’re not going to convince me that enough has become dysfunctional to make this a run-of-the-mill team. Randy Moss is still on hand, as is Wes Welker. And the Pats are going to run the ball, behind the trio of Lawrence Maroney, Sammy Morris and Lamont Jordan. Don’t confuse the new England offensive line with the young, vulnerable unit in Miami. This dog WILL hunt.
We have value here – lots of it. Take the point and a half with the Patriots, the underdog in the BetUS NFL football betting odds.
