NFL Handicapping – Ravens vs Browns Betting Spread / Matchup
The Ravens (5-2) are coming off their worst loss in 5 years, but they have had the Browns’ number in the last few seasons. However, the Browns (2-6) have won 2 of their last 2 games and in their last couple of games they have really stepped up on defense.
Venue/ Stadium: Cleveland Browns Stadium, Cleveland, OH
Time/Date: 1 PM EST Sunday, November 4, 2012
NFL Odds From: gtbets
Moneyline: Ravens -190 / Browns +160
Spread: Ravens -3.5
Over/Under: 42
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Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns Preview
On the other side of the coin the Ravens have struggled on D and they are without Ray Lewis and Lardarius Webb, who are both out for the season due to injuries. NFL lines have the Ravens as 3.5-point away favorites with a total of 42.
In their last games the Browns beat the San Diego Chargers 7-6 while the Ravens lost to the Houston Texans 43-13.
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This season the Ravens are 2-5 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 5-2 and the Browns are 4-3-1 ATS with an Over/Under record of 3-5.
A few weeks back in Baltimore the Ravens beat the Browns 23-16.
Joe Flacco has played well this season at home, but has struggled on the road only averaging 188.7 yards per game with 2 TD and 4 INT. He has the WR corps with Anquan Boldin and Torrey Smith, who are each averaging over 14 yards per catch, and while the Browns only rank 25th in the league in pass defense they held the Chargers to 148 passing yards last week. [soliloquy id=”82219″]
Ray Rice had his worst game of the season in the loss to the Texans and like the pass defense the Browns run defense is not very good, but in their first game against the Ravens they held Rice to 49 rushing yards on 19 carries.
Brandon Weeden has been up and down this season and in the first match up with the Ravens he passed for over 300 yards, but did not throw a TD and he was picked off once. The Ravens only rank 24th in the league in pass defense and they must keep WR Josh Gordon, who is averaging over 22 yards per catch, from making the big play.
The Ravens really miss Lewis in the run defense, which now ranks a weak 30th in the league. They gave up 181 rushing yards to the Texans in their last game and Browns rookie RB Trent Richardson rushed for 122 yards last week. Richardson is a little banged up and while he will play he struggled in the first match up with Baltimore.
In some betting trends for this AFC North match up the Ravens are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall, and they have an Over record of 9-4 in their last 13 road games.
The Browns are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, and they have an Under record of 8-1 in their last 9 home games.
Jason’s Pick: The Ravens have covered the spread in their last 4 games against the Browns in Cleveland and that trend will continue. Like first match up in Baltimore this game will be pretty close, but the Ravens will still win and cover.
