Bills vs Saints NFL Handicapping
The New Orleans Saints come out of their bye with their top offensive weapon still ailing, but even with question marks surrounding Jimmy Graham, the Saints still find themselves installed as double-digit favorites over the Buffalo Bills.
Buffalo Bills (3-4) at New Orleans Saints (5-1)
Date: Sunday, October 27, 2013
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Superdome
City: New Orleans, Louisiana
O/U Odds: 50
Spread: New Orleans -12
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The bye week helped the Saints to heel some of their wounds, and also gave them some added prep time for this contest, not that they needed it. The Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following the bye week.
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Prior to their bye, the Saints were just five seconds away from a perfect 6-0 start to the season before they were stunned by Tom Brady and the New England Patriots, 30-27. The New Orleans defense had held up well against New England prior to the final drive, in which Tom Brady dug deep into his bag of tricks and came up with a little magic in the closing moments, connecting with rookie receiver Kenbrell Thompkins on the go-ahead strike with five seconds remaining.
The Patriots put out a bit of a blue print on how to slow the Saint offense in that game, putting top corner Aqib Talib on the Saints’ top offensive weapon, Jimmy Graham. Graham was held without a catch and came away from the game with a foot injury. Brees completed just 17 of 36 passes for 236 yards and two touchdowns with an interception. [soliloquy id=”82219″]
Buffalo’s defense played a major role in their last game, a 23-21 win over Miami, capped off by a last minute field goal. Mario Williams led the unit, spending plenty of time in the Dolphins’ backfield, and making the crucial, game-changing play late in the fourth quarter with a strip-sack of Ryan Tannehill that set up the Bills in Dolphins territory.
Bills quarterback Thad Lewis picked up his first career win in the game. Lewis threw for 202 yards in the win. Running back C.J. Spiller was limited again in the game, and is expected to sit out Sunday’s game with the Saints. Fred Jackson did most of the heavy lifting at running back in the contest, including scoring another short touchdown, and is expected to carry the load again on Sunday. The veteran has been dealing with a knee injury, but is expected to tough it out.
The Saints are giving away a lot of points, and the Bills have been highly competitive even without EJ Manuel, but the Saints are simply a different team when playing at home. They’ve gone toe-to-toe with some of the better defenses in football and come out on top, and should have little trouble against a Bills unit that is still finding its way.
The Saints are 12-0 ATS in their last 12 home games under Sean Payton.
The play: New Orleans -12
