Eagles vs Packers NFL Handicapping
The Green Bay Packers begin week one of their attempted post-Aaron Rodgers survival with a date against the Philadelphia Eagles, who don’t appear to have much in the way of quarterback troubles given last weekend’s route of the Raiders.
Philadelphia Eagles (4-5) at Green Bay Packers (5-3)
Date: Sunday, November 10, 2013
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Venue: Lambeau Field
City: Green Bay, Wisconsin
O/U Odds: 47
Spread: Green Bay -1
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Green Bay leaned heavily on the run on Monday night when Rodgers went down, and actually had some success doing so, but fell to the Bears, 27-20.
Eddie Lacy carried the bulk of the offensive load from that point on and had plenty of success doing so. Lacy gained 150 yards on 22 totes, including a touchdown. He can expect another heavy workload against a soft Eagle defense.
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James Starks will likely see more work as well. He turned six carries into 40 yards and a score against the Bears, his second straight game with a long touchdown. Seneca Wallace will need to do a little better to help keep the defense honest. He completed 11 of 19 passes for 114 yards with a fluky interception against the Bears.
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The Green Bay defense actually fared worse than the final score indicates. Chicago did pretty well what they wanted offensively, despite the absence of starting quarterback Jay Cutler. Josh McCown threw for 272 yards and a pair of touchdowns without an interception, and running back Matt Forte rushed the ball 24 times for 125 yards with a score. In total, Chicago churned out 442 yards of offense.
Philadelphia did what they wanted offensively in their last game. The team beat Oakland, 49-20. All seven of their touchdowns came via the arm of quarterback Nick Foles, who tied the NFL record for touchdowns in a game, completing 22 of 28 passes for 406 yards. That meant big days for receivers DeSean Jackson and Riley Cooper, who combined for 289 yards and four touchdowns. The team didn’t have a ton of success rushing the football though. Lead back LeSean McCoy turned 12 carries into just 44 yards, although he did get in on the fun in the passing game, catching four ball for 36 yards and a score.
The defense didn’t have nearly that kind of success, allowing Oakland to gain 560 yards of offense, including 210 on the ground despite leading most of the game. That looks like it could be a major problem come Sunday with the Packers ready to run the ball down their throats.
The over in Eagles games seems like the easy call each week, and this game is no different. Philadelphia likes to play away from home, going 4-1 on the road this year, so don’t be surprised if their offense does just fine in a tough road atmosphere. Green Bay will look to run the ball, which is never fun for over bettors, but they should have a ton of success in doing so. The total for this game feels like it’s understated as oddsmakers over-adjust to the absence of Rodgers.
The play: Over 47
