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NFL Free Pick: Panthers vs. Ravens Gambling Lines & Handicapping Preview

Week #4: Carolina vs Baltimore Predictions

NFL Week 4 betting action sees the Carolina Panthers taking on the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday September 27th at M&T Bank Stadium.  Cappers Picks provides free NFL handicapping tips all season long.

Both of these teams are 2-1 but haven’t really impressed. One of these will be 3-1 and in great position even though it might be an impostor.

NFL Week 4 Picks

Carolina Panthers (2-1) vs. Baltimore Ravens (2-1)
Sunday September 28
1:00PM
M&T Bank Stadium – Baltimore, MD
CBS
NFL Football Betting Lines:  Baltimore -3.5
NFL Football Betting Total:  40.5 
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Carolina

Though they are coming off a loss the Panthers have to be pretty pleased with their season so far. Cam Newton missed the opener but they are still 2-1 and tied for first in the NFC South.

A look behind the numbers shows that this team has not been dominating on defense or in the running game, the two staples of their success.

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Instead, and despite the fact they don’t have elite pass catchers, they have been a top 10 passing offense.

I don’t expect that to continue. 

When Cam Newton is on your side you always have a chance. Still I am not liking what I am seeing from Carolina thus far and the fact that Greg Hardy is still out of the lineup is a major factor, especially against a team that is going to want to throw a lot like Baltimore.

The Panthers need to get back to playing Panther football and until that happens I will be waiting for the other shoe to drop. 

Baltimore

When the Ravens lost at home the first week of the season it seemed a lot like a changing of the guard with the Bengals winning in a style reminiscent of those feared Ravens teams.

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Since then Baltimore has won both games but with Cincinnati still perfect they are essentially a couple of games back in the AFC North.

This version certainly has its faults but they should be a player in the division race all season long. 

Even though their running game was expected to be a disaster the Ravens might have found the answer in the form of Justin Forsett.

Baltimore is going to be a pass first team this season but with Forsett they have found someone who can repeatedly move the ball forward and has good hands as well.

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The need to keep teams honest and as long as he can do Joe Flacco should continue having success throwing the ball as well. 

NFL Football Handicapping Trends

  • Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 4.
  • Under is 5-0 in Panthers last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.
  • Panthers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-0 in Ravens last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Ravens are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Ravens are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. 

NFL Football Week #4 Prediction:  4* Play on Baltimore -3.5

The Ravens are generally a solid team to back at home.  Look for them to get up early and then hunker down and defend the lead throughout the game.

NFL Score prediction:  Baltimore 27 – Carolina 19 

Pretty good value here.

Check out our Updated NFL Week 4 Odds.

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By The Wiesguy

The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.