Week 4: Detroit vs New York Expert Preview
Week 4 of the NFL season will see a match-up between the Detroit Lions (2-1) and the New York Jets (1-2) at MetLife Stadium. Cappers Picks will provide free NFL picks all season.
The NFC North leading Detroit Lions will make a short trip east to visit the New York Jets.
Bet on NFL Week 4 Football!
Detroit vs. New York Jets
When: Sunday, Sept 28th 2014 at 1:00pm ET
Where: MetLife Stadium
NFL Week 4 ATS Gambling Line: Lions -1
NFL Week 4 Gambling O/U Line: 45 Points
The Lions are in search of their first road win of the season while the Jets are hoping to bounce back from a pair of stinging losses after a 1-0 start to the season.
Two teams with something to prove square off this week at MetLife, as the Lions will be looking to cement themselves as a legitimate threat in not only the NFC North but in the entire conference.
The Jets meanwhile could conceivably be a 3-0 team, but could also be 0-3. For the Lions to establish themselves as a contender and not a pretender they’re going to have to get wins on the road and it has to start soon.
The Jets have been tough against the run this year, but that’s the least of their worries as they’ll be charged with shutting down one of the most dangerous QB – receiver tandems in the league in Matt Stafford and Calvin Johnson.
Detroit is a good team, there’s no denying it; but if they are to come into the conversation as a great team they’re going to need to learn to play on the road the way they do at Ford Field in Detroit.
In their two home games this year the Lions have been outstanding and have won in different ways. They decimated the Giants in week one with an offensive showcase. In week three the Lions defense stepped up huge and held Aaron Rodgers and the Packers to just seven points.
On the road, this Lions team is a mystery. They were shelled 24-7 by the Carolina Panthers in week two thanks in large to three turnovers (one INT and two lost fumbles). Ball protection is going to be the name of the game this week against the Jets, which shouldn’t be a huge issue and here’s why:
The Jets can stop the run and the Lions run game wasn’t awe inspiring last week against a very weak Packers run defense (Reggie Bush and Joique Bell accounted for 94 yards on 27 carries – 3.5 yds/carry) .
Expect the Lions to go the pass a lot, and the Jets do not have one interception through three games this year and have allowed a 100 yard receiver in back to back games (Jordy Nelson week 2, Alshon Jefferey week 3). Megatron is just licking his chops for this one.
Depending on whether you’re an optimist or pessimist, a 1-2 record for the Jets after three games can be viewed as either glass half full or half empty.
They won a narrow 19-14 game over the Raiders in week one, before letting a 21-3 lead slip away to Green Bay in week two.
Last week on Monday Night Football against the Bears, the Jets were terribly sloppy with the football, throwing two interceptions (one returned for a TD) and they were fortunate to only turn the ball over once on their four fumbles.
The Jets did however manage to out-gain the Bears on offense by a count of 414-257, and had more time of possession, but turnovers are always the great equalizer in football.
NFL Week 4 Betting Trends
- Lions are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 4.
- Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.
- Over is 7-1 in Lions last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 6-1 in Lions last 7 games in Week 4.
- Jets are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Jets are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Jets are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games in September.
They’ve been eaten alive in the passing game on defense and Rex Ryan has his work cut out for him this week with Calvin Johnson. The Lions defense was stellar in shutting down the Packers, and Jets QB Geno Smith is going to have to find a way to deal with the Detroit pass rush if the Lions are to have success.
Week 4 Lions vs. Jets 4* Free Pick
With a one point spread in favour of the Lions this game is more or less a toss-up. Detroit hasn’t won back to back games yet this year, while the Jets are coming off back to back losses and need a rebound game in a big way.
That being said I think the Lions figure it out on the road this week against a pretty accommodating secondary and I’d look for Calvin Johnson to have a big day catching the football.
ATS Pick Lions -1 (-120)
Check out our Updated NFL Week 4 Odds.