HOUSTON TEXANS (4-2) vs. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (4-2) NFL Free Pick – Odds – Handicapping Preview
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Week 8: Texans at Colts Matchup – Betting Lines
Date/Time: Monday, November 1, 8:30 PM ET
Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana
Broadcast: ESPN
Texans vs. Colts betting lines from MySportsbook.com
Spread: Indianapolis -5.5
Moneyline: Houston +200: Indianapolis -240
Over/Under: 49.5 points
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It is an interesting matchup of two teams that are both coming off a bye. For the Houston Texans, the bye was status quo but for the Indianapolis Colts it was anything but. It was during the bye that the Colts learned that they would be without one of their most reliable pass catchers, Dallas Clark for the rest of the season. An adjustment is necessary – let’s see how the Colts handle the adversity.
The Houston Texans are 2-0 on the road this season but Lucas Oil Stadium is no average road building. Indianapolis is 17-2 in their last 19 home games. The Texans should emerge healthy with their best player Andre Johnson finally nearing 100%. A win would give Houston a huge edge in the AFC South.
Houston’s offense has largely been underwhelming. They are 12th overall with 325 yards per game. They do rank ninth in the NFL in rushing which bodes well against the 24th ranked rushing defense of the Indianapolis Colts. Arian Foster was the reason for their Week 1 win and will have to be so again this week. He and Andre Johnson are a scary duo going into Monday. 
Houston’s defense has been simply brutal this season. They had better tighten up their 27th ranked pass defense, Peyton is coming! Houston has been good against the run but has been brutal against the pass – uh-oh!
We all know what Indianapolis is going to bring to the game. Peyton Manning is going to pass for 300 yards and yet the game will be close. The fourth best passing game in the NFL (296.3 yards per game) will definitely miss Dallas Clark (and maybe Austin Collie), but something tells me that Manning will find a new toy or two. Joseph Addai looked good in their last game going for 128 yards and a touchdown – a good sign going forward.
The Indianapolis defense surprisingly ranks 13th overall. They are sixth against the pass and a miserable 24th against the run (117.7 yards). Arian Foster could be in for a huge day.
Betting Outlook:
The Houston Texans are 8-2 S/U in their last 10 games and are 4-1 S/U in their last five on the road. They are 2-15 S/U versus Indianapolis and 0-5 S/U in their last five trips to Indianapolis. Houston is only 1-3-1 ATS in their last five overall.
Indianapolis is 4-1 S/U in their last five games, 15-2 S/U versus Houston and 17-2 S/U at home. The Colts are 1-4 ATS in their last five games with Houston.
The Houston Texans have the recipe for success against the Indianapolis Colts. Run the ball and occasionally throw it to a dude that aint gonna drop it – Andre Johnson. The Houston offense has a way of controlling the game against Indianapolis so Peyton Manning can’t get in a rhythm. I think that IF the Colts win, it is going to be by a slight margin.
Betting Pick: Houston Texans +5.5
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