2014 NFL Over/Under Lines Gambling?
CG Technologies in Las Vegas is first to market with NFL win totals. There are still some free agents remaining on the board, but the majority of the big names have found new homes, and it’s safe to beginning looking for value in these numbers.
Here are eight win totals from the NFC worthy of a closer look:
Arizona Cardinals (7)
The offense Bruce Arians likes to run is effective, but also notoriously difficult to pick up in a short frame. That didn’t stop the Cardinals from quietly reeling off 10 wins in a deep NFC West division. The retirement of Rashad Mendenhall has opened the door for a breakout year from Andre Ellington, and the team’s consistently strong defense remains largely intact. A .500 record doesn’t seem to be asking too much.
The play: Over
Atlanta Falcons (8)
A whole lot went wrong for the Falcons last year, mostly due to injury. They will enter this season healthy, and while the loss of Tony Gonzalez hurts, and Steven Jackson isn’t getting any younger, the team’s offense shouldn’t be a concern with Julio Jones returning and Matt Ryan entering his prime.
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The play: Over
Chicago Bears (8.5)
An 8-8 season last year came as a major disappointment. Asking for one extra win seems reasonable. The team’s offense took a major step forward last year under new head coach Marc Trestman, and the emergence of Alshon Jeffery should only make the team more potent on that side of the football this year. A bounce back from the defense should be expected, with a pair of significant upgrades along the defensive line in Lamarr Houston and Jared Allen.
The play: Over
Green Bay Packers (10)
The Packers won only eight games in a decidedly weaker NFC North conference last season, while proving just how reliant the squad is on quarterback Aaron Rodgers. The Packers are very flawed team, and many of those flaws were exposed a year ago. Expecting them to get to 11 wins may be a little much.
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The play: Under
New Orleans Saints (9.5)
The Saints added some pieces to their defense in the offseason, but the team is still going to be heavily reliant on its offense, a unit which will be in transition this year. Darren Sproles is gone, as is Lance Moore. Jimmy Graham’s contract dispute doesn’t bode well for his chances of having a big year, and Marques Colston’s age really showed last year. Sean Payton and Drew Brees are still around, but even they have struggled in the past when playing without a strong supporting cast.
The play: Under
New York Giants (7)
There wasn’t a whole lot that went right for the Giants last season. Some would even argue that nothing went right for the team. Even still, they compiled seven wins, which is all they’re being asked to come up with this season. A bounce back from Eli Manning should be expected, and the team’s ground game can’t be any worse than it was a year ago.
The play: Over
Seattle Seahawks (11)
There is always a target on the back of the reigning champions, so Seattle will face a tough road this season, but the team’s roster remains largely unchanged from the group that won 13 games last season. The team’s defense of their home turf has been nearly perfect (including postseason play, they are 17-1 at CentruyLink Field over the last two seasons), so that could mean just a .500 road record would push them up over the number.
The play: Over
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6.5)
The Buccaneers won just four games a year ago, and this year they’re being asked to win seven. The team’s defense appeared poised for a big step forward last year, but that never happened. The offense was a hot mess for much of the year. Doug Martin will return but he’s not the difference-maker many think he is, and Mike Glennon is still unproven at quarterback. Lovie Smith was a good hire, but the Bears went 5-11 in the first year of his tenure in Chicago, so let’s not get ahead of ourselves.
The play: Under
The Rest
Carolina Panthers (8.5)
Dallas Cowboys (8)
Detroit Lions (7.5)
Minnesota Vikings (6.5)
Philadelphia Eagles (8.5)
St. Louis Rams (6.5)
San Francisco 49ers (11)
Washington Redskins (7)
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