NFL Free Pick: Miami vs. New York Betting Lines & Preview

Dolphins vs Jets Free Pick

NFL Week 13 Regular Season action sees the Miami Dolphins taking on the New York Jets on Monday, December 1 at MetLife Stadium. Cappers Picks provides free *NFL*handicapping tips all season long.

The Miami Dolphins have the honor of playing the New York Jets this week in what could be one of the most disappointing Monday night affairs in quite some time.

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Monday Night Football
NFL Week 13 Betting Lines
Miami (6-5) at N.Y. Jets (2-9)
When: 8:30 PM ET, Monday, December 1, 2014
Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey
Broadcast: ESPN
Miami Dolphins -6 -110 Ov 41½ -110
New York Jets +6 -110 Un 41½ -110
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The Dolphins, off a tough loss to the Denver Broncos will look to climb back into the AFC playoff hunt against a Jets team that is falling apart at the seams.

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Can the Jets muster something special or are they destined to continue the race for the #1 overall pick in next year’s NFL draft?


The Miami Dolphin may lost to the Denver Broncos is Week 12 but they did some good things and may have deserved a better fate than a 39-36 loss. The challenge this week in much easier – a loss Monday would be a deserved end to their playoff chances.

The Fins offense has improved seemingly every week as we head into their Monday night clash. The problem for the team is finishing off drives – they are near the bottom of the league in red zone efficiency – something that shouldn’t be a problem against a Jets defense that made Buffalo look like a Super Bowl caliber team.

Ryan Tannehill is finally realizing the potential that most saw in him coming out of college. Over his last six games he’s passed for an average of 239 yards and 2 TDs per game for a 104.2 QB rating while throwing just two interceptions over that span. He gets a crack at terrible Jets secondary that has been more than generous this year. Tannehill is hitting all of his receivers regularly and should have some success Monday.

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The Jets have been surprisingly good against the run – Lamar Miller has been good for Miami but may have a difficult time Monday. He won’t be shut down – the Jets shut no team down but he likely won’t be dominant.

Miami’s defense has also been good – every aspect of the Fins defense has been formidable to say the least. Miami likely won’t have to be that good on the defensive side of the ball Monday – the Jets will likely shoot themselves in the foot!


So who’s it gonna be? Will Mike Vick or Geno Smith get the starting nod at quarterback? The latest word is that Smith will replace the seemingly disinterested Vick to run a team that was thoroughly outclassed Monday night against the Bills – they lost 38-3, gained a total of 218 yard and scored three points.

The Jets are an absolute mess – period. The only chance they have in this game is to ride a running game that is somehow third in the NFL with 141 yards per game. The running game gained 92 against the Bills but they only got 19 touches in the blowout loss. If Rex Ryan was watching Sunday he would have seen Denver’s CJ Anderson run for 201 yards against the Miami front.

Simply put New York has to put all of their trust into the running game – Geno Smith, Percy Harvin and the rest of the Jets passing game are not match for Miami’s very good secondary.

New York’s defense has been the one bright spot for the team but they too are coming off a dud against a previously struggling Buffalo offense. A big concern is the health of Muhammad Wilkerson who is questionable after sustaining an injury Monday night.

The Jets pass defense has been bad – allowing quarterbacks to complete 65 percent of their passes for 239 yards per game while giving up 27 touchdowns, three interceptions and a league-worst 109.4 quarterback rating.

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New York has to hope that Miami leans on the run and ignores ALL the stats!

NFL Week 13 Betting Trends

• Under is 7-1 in MIA last 8 games in December.
• Under is 13-3 in MIA last 16 vs. AFC East.
• Under is 20-6 in MIA last 26 games on fieldturf.
• NYJ are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
• NYJ are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC.
• NYJ are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on fieldturf.
• MIA are 9-21-1 ATS in their last 31 meetings.

This looks like the blowout of the weekend on paper – the Jets are coming apart at the right in front of our eyes. But last time we felt this way about New York they shocked the Chargers.

NFL Week 13 Betting Prediction

On Monday night football in a divisional game, some may be trapped into thinking this may be a close game – not me!

4* Free Play On: Miami Dolphins -6

Simply put the Fins are a good team – the Jets are among the worst. Miami gets it done in relatively easy fashion in a must-win game Monday night.

Check out our Updated NFL Week 13 Odds.

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By DaveB

Dave B has been a Fantasy Football writer for us for 10 years. A couch potato wannabe, Dave’s insights have been read by 10’s of people for years. He hope’s for world peace + global relaxation. Enjoy and remember only smoke things that are completely natural.