NFL-X Week 3 – San Diego vs San Francisco
The San Francisco 49ers (0-2) have been outscored 57-3 through two preseason games. They were just shutout in their first game at the new Levi’s Stadium against the Broncos (34-0).
SF will take on the San Diego Chargers (1-1) who were just dominated by another NFC West team. Seattle beat SD (41-14) last week. The week prior the Chargers picked up a win over the Cowboys (27-7).
Week 3 Preseason
When: Sunday, Aug 24th 2014 at 4:00pm ET
Where: Levi’s Stadium
NFL Preseason Line: -6 (49ers)
NFL Preseason Line O/U: 42
Jim Harbaugh has stated all week that this is the week for his team to get in sync. Colin Kaepernick hasn’t seen much playing time this preseason, but I think it’s safe to expect him to play the 1H.
Starters generally sit the final preseason game, so this week is important for the 49ers. The last thing they want is to head into the regular season with fans questioning the team’s ability and commitment.
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I expect Frank Gore and Carlos Hyde to both get more work as well. SD allowed the Seahawks to gain 243 rushing yards on 37 carries (6.6 YPC). Seattle scored five rushing TD’s as well against SD.
The SF o-line is solid and if the starters get more work they should crush the Chargers d-line. Even the SD secondary was poor last week against the Seattle starters, which is a cause for concern.
After not scoring a single TD through two preseason games I expect Harbaugh and the Niners to do their best to crush SD. This team needs to use this week to build up momentum before the regular season.
It hasn’t been just the offense that has been poor for SF. Defensively, the Niners have allowed 386 yards against BAL and 357 yards against DEN. SF has had 7 turnovers as well while only forcing two.
We haven’t seen too much from the San Diego starters yet, but they should play the 1H this week. Philip Rivers has gone 6/8 for 81 passing yards in two games, but Kellen Clemens has played well.
SD has focused on the run game, as they’ve rushed the football 65 times for 230 yards and 2 TD’s. The YPC isn’t great, but not bad either. SF will have their hands full stopping the run tomorrow.
Recent NFL Betting Trends:
- Chargers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
- Chargers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Chargers last 5 road games.
- San Francisco Under is 8-3 in 49ers last 11 games overall.
- 49ers are 28-11-1 ATS in their last 40 games on grass.
- Under is 5-2 in 49ers last 7 home games.
Chargers vs. 49ers Picks
Bet on the San Francisco 49ers –6 (-110)
I’m going against the grain in this match-up, as I’m taking the Niners to cover the spread. I’ve seen that a lot of handicappers are on the Chargers to cover, but I expect SF to look like the real SF this week.
The first two weeks we saw a lot of back-up players getting snaps and Blaine Gabbert has struggled at QB while on the field. Kaepernick should play more this week and I expect SF to build up an early lead.
San Diego has the better 2nd unit, as Clemens is playing much better than Gabbert. However, SF should be able to run the football down the throats of the SD front seven after the starters build a lead.