2011 Week 17 NFL Gambling Lines: Top 3 Matchups and Predictions
Being home for the Holidays had a slight edge in Week 16 in the NFL with nine home teams covering against the spread verse seven teams covering on the road. The favorites and underdogs were evenly split at eight games apiece and nine games stayed ‘under’ the total, six went ‘over’, and there was one ‘push’.
My top picks for Week 16 bounced back with a 2-1record overall. I decided to get an early jump on crunching the numbers for this final week of the NFL regular season in an effort to ring in the New Year with three winners on my top plays.
All odds quoted are courtesy of JustBet.com.
Sunday, January 1
New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins PICK
Despite losing their last two games by a combined score of 74-33 the Jets still have a chance to make the playoffs with a win and some help. If Rex Ryan cannot find a way to rally his team to play to its capabilities this week, he could find himself with a one-way ticket out of the Big Apple.
The Dolphins continue to play hard with five wins in their last eight games, but could still be shell-shocked after blowing a 17-point lead in a 27-24 loss to New England last Sunday as nine-point road underdogs. The big question is how much juice do they have left for this final game with a 5-10 record and an interim coach.
The road team in this series is 7-2-1 against the spread in the last 10 meetings. The Jets are 19-6-2 ATS in the last 27 games overall and 7-1 ATS in their last eight trips to Miami.
The Pick: New York 23 Miami 20
Baltimore Ravens (-1.5) vs. Cincinnati Bengals
The Ravens can go anywhere from the No.1 seed to the No. 5 seed in the AFC depending on the outcome of this game and a few others. They continue to win on a regular basis, but still have a bad habit of letting teams hang around until the final gun. Last week, Baltimore beat Cleveland by just six points after building a 20-0 lead late in the third quarter.
Cincinnati’s task is simple on Sunday; win and you are in the playoffs. In many ways this team is a mirror-image of Baltimore with a very average offense, but a defense that has done a very good job at keeping teams out of the end zone. The Bengals know that if they can keep this game close until the end, they have an excellent chance to pull out the win.
The Ravens are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games as favorites, while the Bengals are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games as underdogs. Baltimore is 0-4-1 ATS in the last five meetings overall and 1-5 ATS in its last six games in Cincinnati. The underdog in this series is 4-0-1 ATS in the last five games. [soliloquy id=”82219″]
The Pick: Cincinnati 20 Baltimore 17
Seattle Seahawks vs. Arizona Cardinals (-2.5)
Seattle will try and get to an even 8-8 with a win in their season finale which would be quite an accomplishment considering the team started 2-6. The Seahawks will probably need another strong effort from its defense to actually notch a win with an offense that is ranked 28th in the NFL in total yards and 24th in scoring.
Arizona can also get to .500 with a win after an equally dreadful 1-6 start to the season. The Cardinals may have found a budding star at quarterback along the way as John Skelton, not Kevin Kolb has been behind center for the majority of all those second-half of the season victories.
The Seahawks are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games against the NFC West, while the Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against the NFC. The home team in this series is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings and Seattle is just 1-4 ATS in its last five trips to the dessert.
The Pick: Arizona 28 Seattle 24
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