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Week 6: Cyclones vs. Jayhawks Preview/Pick

Oddsmakers currently have the Jayhawks listed as 19-point favorites versus the Cyclones, while the game’s total is sitting at 57½, here is a preview for the Iowa State Cyclones vs. Kansas Jayhawks plus a pick and lines betting angle…

College Football Betting – Iowa State vs. #16 Kansas Predictions

Saturday, October 10 – 12:30 PM ET
BetUS NCAA College Football Betting Odds: KANSAS -19.5, Total 55.5

Here are some of the NCAA college football betting trends as they relate to the Cyclones vs Kansas Jayhawks matchup:

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ISU has lost 12 of its last 15 games SU
ISU has lost 18 of its last 19 road games SU
ISU has played five of its last six road games OVER the total
KAN has won its last six games SU
KAN has won 18 of its last 21 home games SU

Also….

KAN has covered four of the last six meetings
KAN has won five of the last six meetings SU
KAN has covered four of the last six meetings as the home team
KAN has won five of the last six meetings SU as the home team

Iowa State has covered its last three games in college football betting, beating Kent State and Army and losing by a point to Kansas State when Grant Mahoney missed an extra point with 32 seconds left. In each of those games they have rushed for over 200 yards and have a plus-171 margin in yardage over those three. Other parts of the special teams are not working so badly; Iowa State is third nationally in net punting.

Austen Arnaud has not been so efficient (53% completions) despite unparalleled protection. He’s been sacked only once on the season. Alexander Robinson has averaged 100 yards a game this season, banging out six yards a carry. ISU certainly could be 4-1, with the only huge disappointment a 35-3 loss to in-state rival Iowa that they had the ability to make more competitive.

Kansas will unquestionably pose a challenge to the Cyclones’ offensive line, as the Jayhawks have scored 15 sacks on the year. Jake Sharp should be sufficiently over his calf injury to be ready for this game (he had to sit out the Southern Miss game but KU had a bye week in between). Meanwhile, Toben Opurum, the freshman, has risen to the occasion with 109 yards in Sharp’s place two weeks ago. He’s scored six rushing TD’s and seven overall, which certainly helps KU in the college football betting odds.

This is important because having a quality ground attack is not something Todd Reesing has always had the luxury of around Lawrence. Reesing is 67% accurate, and has thrown for 669 yards and six TD’s the last two weeks. He needed all of his 331 yards to beat Southern Miss last week, but you can’t fault the Jayhawks for having to go to the wire with a rather tough Conference USA entry.

Kansas may have played some stiffs, but is allowing only 2.3 yards a carry this season (only Texas and TCU have done better), and that should slow down what ISU wants to do on offense. The interesting thing here is the scheduling dynamic; Kansas has had the benefit of an extra week to get ready and get healthier (and hopefully not to brawl with their basketball counterparts), while Iowa State has to be at least a little disheartened about that opportunity for victory against Kansas State that slipped away. At the same time, ISU will have Kansas’ full attention after last year’s close call, which resulted in a 35-33 KU win.

We’re laying the points with Kansas, the 19.5-point favorite in the BetUS NCAA college football betting odds.

OUR PLAY: KANSAS -19.5 **

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By Cappers Picks

Articles on CappersPicks.com are written by Q (the Head Honcho) at Cappers Picks or by our resident "in house" handicapper Razor Ray Monohan! Enjoy the free picks folks! "Pad that bankroll one day at a time!"

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