Week 14 – ARIZONA WILDCATS (7-4) @ USC TROJANS (8-3)
Date: Saturday, December 5, 3:30 PM EST
Site: Los Angeles, CA
BetUS LINE: USC -7
Preview:
By Southern Cal’s lofty standards, this season has been a disappointment no matter which way you slice it. The program has had a couple of embarassing losses to Oregon and Stanford; they took out their frustration somewhat in a 28-7 win over crosstown rival UCLA last week.
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Arizona is a player in the Pac-10, though, and USC will have to stay playing like they can in order to pull out the win.
Transfer QB Nick Foles has been a very pleasant surprise for the Wildcats in 2009, and there has been some solid defense and special teams coming out of the desert as well. However, ‘Zona didn’t look as convincing versus its in-state rival last week, edging the Arizona State Sun Devil 20-17.
If Trojans quarterback Matt Barkley can put together a performance, Trojan talent should out-shine Wildcat overachieving in the last week of the season.
To pull the upset, Arizona will have to contain RB Joe McKnight and WR Damian Williams, and pressure Barkley into making some bad decisions (which he has been prone to do in 2009, 11 TD-12 INTs tells the story).
Foles has weapons of his own at his disposal (RB Nic Grigsby, WR Terrell Turner and that’s without stud TE prospect Rob Gronkowski) and all units will have to be dialed in to steal a victory in L.A.
It’s certainly back to the drawing board for USC next season, but the squad should be able to finish the 2009 regular season on a high note at home with a victory over the Wildcats.
2009 Team Stats
Total Offense: Arizona 34th
USC 49th
Total Defense: Arizona 22nd
USC 43rd
Trends:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona’s last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona’s last 7 games on the road
Arizona is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
Arizona is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Southern Cal is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Southern Cal is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games at home
Southern Cal is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games
Southern Cal is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
Team records:
Arizona: 7-4 SU, 5-5 ATS
Southern Cal: 8-3 SU, 3-8 ATS
Pick: USC -7
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James has been naming every player on the EA Sports NCAA video game rosters for half a decade now, he’s finally putting his knowledge to better use writing for us here at CappersPicks.com. As always you’re comments are welcome below…Give Us Your Take!
