NCAA Football Odds – Purdue vs. Indiana in Week 12
Purdue Boilermakers (4-7 SU, 5-6 ATS) at Indiana Hoosiers (4-7 SU, 7-3 ATS)
Saturday, November 21 – 3:30 PM ET
BetUS NCAA Football Odds: PURDUE -3, Total 58.5
Here are some of the college football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:
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PUR has covered two of its last seven games
PUR has lost seven of its last ten games SU
PUR has played six of its last nine games
PUR has lost eleven of its last 12 road games SU
IND has covered four of its last five games
IND has lost seven of its last eight games SU
IND has played four of its last six games OVER the total
Also….
PUR has won six of the last seven meetings SU
IND has covered four of the last five meetings as the home team 
PUR has won five of the last seven meetings SU as the road team
This game, like all these in-state rivalries, is played for some traditional “trophy.” In this case, it’s the “Old Oaken Bucket,” which has been won by the home team in each of the last three years. There are additional motivations, particularly for the Indiana Hoosiers squad, which is still seething after last year’s debacle, where the Purdue Boilermakers ran up a 62-10 score in its farewell game for outgoing head coach Joe Tiller.
Purdue dropped another close game last week when it lost 40-37 to Michigan State, which kicked a field goal with less than two minutes to go to seal it. Ralph Bolden had 76 yards rushing, and he’s been steady, if not spectacular, since his 234-yard rampage in the opening week against Toledo.
Joey Elliott has kept things in the air for coach Danny Pope, throwing for 740 yards the last two weeks. He certainly has an edge over Ben Chappell (2675 yards, 15 TD’s) in that department, although the Boilermakers don’t defend the run all that well (4.3 ypc allowed).
Remember that Purdue has more turnovers than all but one team in Division I ball (29), while Indiana has been pretty good in that department, with a +11 turnover ratio, and they know how to get to the passer as well.
Indiana is in the midst of a four-game losing streak, but has shown itself to be competitive in those games, blowing a big lead against Northwestern, allowing Iowa to score 28 points in the fourth quarter, and hung in there pretty well against both Wisconsin and Penn State. In point of fact, Indiana has rewarded its backers in the college football odds much better, covering seven out of ten games.
In a game between teams that don’t have any bowl hopes, we’re going to go ahead and grab the points with Indiana, the three-point underdog in the BetUS NCAA football odds.
OUR PLAY: INDIANA +3 **
