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UCLA Bruins vs. Arizona Wildcats Week 11 Betting Predictions & Preview

UCLA vs Arizona NCAA Football Odds

The UCLA Bruins may have lost two of their last three contests, but fans in Los Angeles can find solace in the fact that those two losses came to top-tier competition (No. 13 Stanford and No. 3 Oregon) and that last week’s showing against the Colorado Buffaloes proves they’re still one of the most dangerous teams in the Pac-12.

No. 19 UCLA (6-2, 3-2 Pac-12) @ Arizona (6-2, 3-2 Pac-12)
Saturday, Nov. 9 10:00 PM ET @ Arizona Stadium
Spread: UCLA -1.5
O/U: OFF

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Their opponent this week, the Arizona Wildcats, have the exact same record as they do—both in and out of conference play—but it’s the Bruins who bring with them a top-20 ranking entering Week 11.

UCLA

UCLA needs to have one goal in mind entering this contest: Stop Ka’Deem Carey from rushing all over its defense. The junior back has compiled 1,072 yards on the year, as well as 10 scores on the ground. He’s the biggest weapon the Arizona Wildcats have on offense, and he’s the biggest reason why the team is 12th in rushing in the FBS.

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Fortunately for the Bruins, that’s all they really have to focus on defensively. Arizona is an abysmal passing team, as they haven’t even broken the top 100 in the nation in passing yards. It passes for 187.8 yards per contest, which is only good enough for 102nd in the country.

Offensively, this team is back on track following its two blunders against the Cardinal and the Ducks. In those two games combined, it recorded just 549 total yards. In its most recent matchup with the Buffaloes, it tallied 412 yards, 273 of which came from Brett Hundley through the air. He also had four total touchdowns.
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As we learned against Stanford and Oregon, ball control makes a huge difference for this team. Hundley was sacked seven times and threw the ball away four times against the Cardinal and the Ducks. Keeping the ball moving is going to be crucial, but Hundley and his crew will be up against another imposing defense this week.

Arizona

Arizona’s defense may not be getting much national attention at this point in the year, but it is just outside the top 25 in points allowed per game. It is giving up just 20.9 points per outing, and it will look to slow down a UCLA attack that has been productive both through the air and on the ground up to this juncture.

The last time UCLA visited Arizona Stadium, the Wildcats walked away with a 48-12 victory. In fact, the Bruins haven’t won at Arizona since 2003—a 24-21 win on Oct. 11 of that year.

Historically speaking, this matchup continues to favor Arizona. The home team in this battle has won ATS in eight of the last 10 meetings. The problem is that these are two very different teams than have met in the past, and Arizona’s 2-3-1 ATS record at home (in its last six games) doesn’t scream confidence when it comes to 2013.

Combine that with such a minuscule spread entering the contest, and UCLA has to be considered the favorite at this point in the process.

Prediction: UCLA 35 – Arizona 27

By Cappers Picks

Articles on CappersPicks.com are written by Q (the Head Honcho) at Cappers Picks or by our resident "in house" handicapper Razor Ray Monohan! Enjoy the free picks folks! "Pad that bankroll one day at a time!"