OU vs Texas Tech Odds & Prediction
Oklahoma (2-1) is coming off their first loss of the season and they are now 0-1 in Big 12 play. They now face a Texas Tech team that is 4-0 and the Red Raiders have not lost a home game to Oklahoma at home since the 2003 season.
Venue/ Stadium: Jones AT&T Stadium, LUBBOCK, TX
Time/Date: 3:30 PM EST Saturday, October 6, 2012
NCAAF Odds From: SportsBettingOnline
Moneyline: Oklahoma -240 / Texas Tech +200
Spread: Oklahoma -5.5
Over/Under: 58
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No. 17 Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Preview
One of the main reasons Texas Tech is not ranked is that they have played a weak schedule and this game will show if they are a legit conference contender. NCAAF lines have Oklahoma as 5.5-point home favorites with a total of 58.
In their last games Texas Tech beat Iowa State 24-13 while Oklahoma lost to Kansas State 24-19.
This season Oklahoma is 1-2 ATS with an Over/Under record of 0-2 and Texas Tech is 4-0 ATS with an Over/Under record of 1-2.
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This is the Texas Tech we are used to seeing with the nation’s 5th ranked passing offense, but they also have a solid D ranking 7th in the nation. However, their opponents this season have been Northwestern State, Texas State, New Mexico, and Iowa State.
QB Seth Doege leads the Red Raiders and against Iowa State he passed for over 330 yards with 3 TD and 2 INT. His top 2 targets of Eric Ward and Javon Bell are averaging over 14 yards per reception and while Oklahoma has the nation’s 2nd ranked pass defense they have not played a team with a good passing offense this season.[soliloquy id=”82219″]
The reason OU lost to KSU was that they could not stop the run and they only rank 66th in the nation in run defense. RB’s Kenny Williams and Eric Stephens Jr. will have to play well in this game and each is averaging over 6 yards per carry this season.
Landry Jones had a good game against Kansas State passing for 298 yards with 1 TD and 1 INT and he has a solid WR corps. However, he will need help from the rushing offense, which struggled in the loss to Kansas State.
Like Oklahoma Texas Tech has not faced a team with a good passing offense, but they still have the nation’s top ranked pass defense and their run defense ranks 12th.
In some betting trends for this Big 12 match up Oklahoma is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games, and they have an Under record of 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Texas Tech is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall, 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, and they have an Over record of 7-2 in their last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
Jason’s Pick: The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 games between these 2 teams, but that trend will not continue in this game. Tech has not played a good team yet and against OU I think they will get killed, as the Sooners will win on the road and cover the spread.
